MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c7288b414dc4e78d716c33fbc6ec28d386827d66a35e730076716296498300e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof Doosan Bears, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed KT Wiz | 63c | 3,905$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.06 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked KT Wiz | 62c | 3,687$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.92 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed Doosan Bears | 42c | 3,150$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Doosan Bears | 37c | 2,804$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.11 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked KT Wiz | 64c | 2,560$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.68 | 1,438 | 51%734 W · 704 L | -18.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KT Wiz | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.37 | 1,875 | 52.1%976 W · 899 L | +52.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Doosan Bears | 3c | 1,700$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 60 | 3.3%2 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Doosan Bears | 3c | 1,700$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Doosan Bears | 37c | 1,342$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.54 | 458 | 53.7%246 W · 212 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Doosan Bears | 4c | 1,219$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Doosan Bears | 37c | 1,009$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.21 | 588 | 52.9%311 W · 277 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Doosan Bears | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 6.8%4 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Doosan Bears | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 323 | 66.3%214 W · 109 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Doosan Bears | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Doosan Bears | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +19%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed KT Wiz | 53c | 474.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.6 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KT Wiz | 58c | 428.58$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.95 | 879 | 52.8%464 W · 415 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed KT Wiz | 63c | 384.51$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.78 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Doosan Bears | 37c | 352.19$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.31 | 1,970 | 53.1%1,047 W · 923 L | +45.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Doosan Bears | 37c | 325.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 1,205 | 49%591 W · 614 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed KT Wiz | 64c | 310.93$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Doosan Bears | 38c | 310.58$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.02 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…b03abacked KT Wiz | 58c | 297.41$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa9…03c7backed Doosan Bears | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 8c | 250.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 351 | 45%158 W · 193 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Doosan Bears | 39c | 199.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked KT Wiz | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 490 | 46.1%226 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Doosan Bears | 10c | 157.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d827backed KT Wiz | 58c | 155$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KT Wiz | 61c | 138.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Doosan Bears | 51c | 131.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 5,172 | 54.6%2,824 W · 2,348 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Doosan Bears | 11c | 131.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1,734 | 50.4%874 W · 860 L | +57.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked KT Wiz | 62c | 115.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed KT Wiz | 62c | 113.8$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 361 | 51.2%185 W · 176 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed KT Wiz | 58c | 110.26$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 809 | 51.9%420 W · 389 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Doosan Bears | 29c | 96.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 388 | 33.8%131 W · 257 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Doosan Bears | 38c | 79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7954…8c27backed KT Wiz | 58c | 75.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed KT Wiz | 57c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 170 | 61.8%105 W · 65 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…667dbacked Doosan Bears | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x333f…3cd6backed KT Wiz | 65c | 44.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed KT Wiz | 64c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Doosan Bears | 36c | 37.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 207 | 39.6%82 W · 125 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed KT Wiz | 71c | 35.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 298 | 52%155 W · 143 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed KT Wiz | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 643 | 54.1%348 W · 295 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 27.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…ab8fbacked KT Wiz | 68c | 26.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed KT Wiz | 58c | 19.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 559 | 51.9%290 W · 269 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked KT Wiz | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…ea93backed KT Wiz | 63c | 18.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…0035backed KT Wiz | 60c | 18.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5c…ebf5backed KT Wiz | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2dfabacked KT Wiz | 75c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.