La Liga · resolved market
UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1caec863b45a2e9d0db75328e0669d689160e909fde0578056db338bb4adf9f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb98…b473backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 1,133$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.9 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 979.78$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.1 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 24c | 768.72$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.4 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 52c | 713.47$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.47 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 18c | 628.36$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 37c | 433.54$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.82 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 18c | 266$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 22.7%22 W · 75 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35cf…6fabbacked Over | 45c | 150.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Under | 62c | 97.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 18c | 89.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 13c | 83.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Under | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 45c | 72.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 74c | 66.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2959…b716backed Under | 50c | 62.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +140.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 60.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 70c | 24.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 75c | 19.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)UD Almería won
- Spread: UD Almería (-2.5)UD Almería won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: CD Eldense 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: CD Eldense O/U 2.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: O/U 2.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: O/U 3.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: O/U 5.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: UD Almería O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: UD Almería O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.