La Liga · resolved market
Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe7533a898481cca669cb31c0e1206493e524d90e180c5e82cb905eb5ccdedde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UD Almeríaof UD Almería, CD Eldense
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x298b…f406backed UD Almería | 41c | 9,115$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,375.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 44cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0270…5a30backed CD Eldense | 58c | 4,050$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked UD Almería | 45c | 3,234$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.3 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed CD Eldense | 28c | 2,821$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.23 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UD Almería | 71c | 2,005$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.57 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed CD Eldense | 57c | 1,719$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked CD Eldense | 57c | 1,513$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.7 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked UD Almería | 42c | 812$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.96 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed CD Eldense | 57c | 769.95$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.87 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CD Eldense | 60c | 610.75$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.15 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked CD Eldense | 56c | 465.95$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked CD Eldense | 59c | 268.19$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.23 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed CD Eldense | 57c | 229.83$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.92 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed CD Eldense | 58c | 226.26$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.55 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CD Eldense | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed UD Almería | 42c | 153.37$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.95 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked CD Eldense | 57c | 131.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed CD Eldense | 57c | 114.03$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed UD Almería | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CD Eldense | 57c | 98.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked UD Almería | 41c | 93.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed UD Almería | 43c | 88.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed UD Almería | 41c | 81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +59%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked CD Eldense | 57c | 63.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed CD Eldense | 56c | 61.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed CD Eldense | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CD Eldense | 55c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74de…693fbacked UD Almería | 53c | 42.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked UD Almería | 42c | 41.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed UD Almería | 80c | 38.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed UD Almería | 51c | 27.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed UD Almería | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked CD Eldense | 54c | 21.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…c480backed CD Eldense | 51c | 20.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)this page
- Spread: UD Almería (-2.5)UD Almería won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: CD Eldense 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: CD Eldense O/U 2.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: O/U 2.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: O/U 3.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: O/U 4.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: O/U 5.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: UD Almería O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: UD Almería O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.