La Liga · resolved market
Spread: UD Almería (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b2cff49c7c0cfaf0a6d9c0fde39a282d3f93622a81050622ad618ab1ac64a27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UD Almeríaof UD Almería, CD Eldense
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed UD Almería | 25c | 2,788$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.73 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked CD Eldense | 75c | 2,660$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed UD Almería | 37c | 713.11$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.94 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CD Eldense | 63c | 634.18$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.79 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed CD Eldense | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked UD Almería | 21c | 117.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.21 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed UD Almería | 79c | 96.32$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed UD Almería | 24c | 89.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.88 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked CD Eldense | 79c | 80.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74de…693fbacked UD Almería | 25c | 65.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UD Almería | 41c | 65.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked CD Eldense | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed CD Eldense | 76c | 53.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed CD Eldense | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CD Eldense | 77c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed CD Eldense | 64c | 27.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed CD Eldense | 64c | 27.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed UD Almería | 68c | 23.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UD Almería (-2.5)this page
- Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)UD Almería won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: CD Eldense 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: CD Eldense O/U 2.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: O/U 2.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: O/U 3.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: O/U 4.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: O/U 5.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: UD Almería O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: UD Almería O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.