La Liga · resolved market
UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d670973350be025bbe419779ccfff3f3709d0bf81612df7763827432f178d3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 62c | 9,593$5,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,931.3 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 41c | 7,264$2,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320.92 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 5,071$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.46 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 39c | 3,312$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.11 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 22c | 3,240$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.32 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 11c | 2,861$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.41 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 67c | 1,990$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.3 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 2c | 1,798$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -80%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 6c | 1,688$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 52c | 1,533$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.38 | 1,017 | 33.4%340 W · 677 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 1,230$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.25 | 841 | 44.8%377 W · 464 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…54ffbacked Over | 22c | 961.06$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd8…199ebacked Over | 26c | 898.78$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Over | 67c | 876.85$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 61c | 809.58$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.84 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Over | 71c | 762.4$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Over | 44c | 680.7$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.64 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 61c | 675.32$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Over | 62c | 663.75$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.56 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 43c | 560.91$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.36 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 558.96$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.92 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 68c | 514.71$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 70c | 428.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.68 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under | 28c | 334.82$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 71c | 310.47$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.95 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 26c | 303.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed Over | 72c | 277.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Under | 28c | 247.72$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 8c | 209.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Over | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 191.36$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.24 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 34c | 178.93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.25 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -60%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…39bbbacked Over | 46c | 174.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 166.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 445 | 24.3%108 W · 337 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Over | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 76c | 131.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 60c | 119.78$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 44c | 119.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Under | 80c | 112.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 60c | 109.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 31c | 108.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 63c | 104.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 65c | 101.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 63c | 95.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…a0aabacked Under | 73c | 79.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 67c | 78.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 159 | 61.6%98 W · 61 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee0…4078backed Under | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 77cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 61c | 75.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Over | 62c | 70.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…1942backed Under | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2959…b716backed Under | 36c | 64.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +140.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 77c | 60.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Under | 39c | 51.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 57c | 45.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Under | 43c | 45.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b4…470dbacked Under | 80c | 41.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +186.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 67c | 41.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 56c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 63c | 37.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 69c | 37.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 49c | 33.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b4…17eebacked Over | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…7e45backed Under | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 64c | 19.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 61c | 18.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 75c | 13.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x704b…08b7backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)UD Almería won
- Spread: UD Almería (-2.5)UD Almería won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: CD Eldense 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: CD Eldense O/U 2.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: O/U 2.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: O/U 4.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: O/U 5.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: UD Almería O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. CD Eldense: UD Almería O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.