TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Portugal vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,064
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,171

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,064 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e31…454dbacked Yes72c427.55$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.462330.4%7 W · 16 L-6.3wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-47.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes71c269.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.5976445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfb8…a530backed No30c217.86$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.733441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked No31c206$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.0835958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked No27c199.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9924954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes70c177.24$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2924037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7448961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes72c99.97$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9811156.8%63 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5415…2a6ebacked No28c95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.48366.3%55 W · 28 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6407…1f9bbacked Yes68c91$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes71c75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.92,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ec1…0099backed No51c46.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.671758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6260…bd7cbacked No33c45.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.455143.1%22 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x56c4…580cbacked No28c40.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.494951%25 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1448636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.