Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Jacksonville Dolphins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1db80bfbe0e3cdf834172cb75b2c695f7285ca1f870a1b448cc28681619d664f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jacksonville Dolphinsof Lipscomb Bisons, Jacksonville Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17fd…976fbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 64c | 7,700$4,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,928 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe588…7658backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 36c | 7,700$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,928 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 65c | 3,864$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.1 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…e38abacked Lipscomb Bisons | 33c | 1,496$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lipscomb Bisons | 59c | 1,065$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.3 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lipscomb Bisons | 25c | 939.21$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.84 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 63c | 855.57$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.6 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Lipscomb Bisons | 19c | 757.89$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 35c | 748.45$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.47 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 77c | 499.84$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.22 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Lipscomb Bisons | 23c | 497.31$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.07 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 47c | 496$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.29 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Lipscomb Bisons | 44c | 484.72$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.58 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 63c | 369.51$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.79 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Lipscomb Bisons | 12c | 348.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Lipscomb Bisons | 64c | 321.88$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 73c | 240.88$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 34c | 179.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Lipscomb Bisons | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lipscomb Bisons | 58c | 137$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lipscomb Bisons | 11c | 135.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lipscomb Bisons | 16c | 129$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 34c | 114.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 60c | 109.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 70c | 107.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 35c | 100.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 33c | 79.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lipscomb Bisons | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Lipscomb Bisons | 67c | 61.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Lipscomb Bisons | 67c | 60.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 70c | 56.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Lipscomb Bisons | 30c | 56.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 64c | 41.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Lipscomb Bisons | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…036abacked Lipscomb Bisons | 53c | 37.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…7ff0backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 34c | 34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 37c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 51c | 28.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481e…5491backed Lipscomb Bisons | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34d…bbe8backed Lipscomb Bisons | 66c | 18.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…75b0backed Lipscomb Bisons | 66c | 15.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.