Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sao Paulo: Juan Estevez vs Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1de9c5878cc635684c5f3b426b467f8b997bb5f95b6232d22c3cda294eca4156
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Estevezof Juan Estevez, Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Juan Estevez | 75c | 9,300$6,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.79 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 26c | 4,538$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.29 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 3c | 2,007$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 19c | 1,901$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.27 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…430ebacked Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 5c | 1,448$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Juan Estevez | 65c | 1,005$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.13 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 35c | 563.77$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.26 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 7c | 433.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 10c | 403.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 22c | 300$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 34c | 284.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 23c | 266.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 23c | 252.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 22c | 240.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Juan Estevez | 65c | 230.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 12c | 225.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 12c | 215.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 24c | 212.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 5c | 196.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Juan Estevez | 56c | 186.31$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.16 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 12c | 147.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 11c | 138.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 23c | 135.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 10c | 135.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 16c | 95.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 22c | 91.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 23c | 86.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 23c | 79.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 22c | 77.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 23c | 65.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Juan Estevez | 71c | 63.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Juan Estevez | 80c | 61.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 27c | 58.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 27c | 58.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 27c | 58.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Juan Estevez | 67c | 41.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 37c | 31.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Juan Estevez | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Juan Estevez | 78c | 17.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.