Lol · resolved market
LoL: Way Gaming Esports vs Tung Tung Bogi - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e7a74b20461933b93ed31ea1ca6fffd75159b6c3c88aa4821390d8212b60c7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tung Tung Bogiof Way Gaming Esports, Tung Tung Bogi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Way Gaming Esports | 3c | 1,975$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Way Gaming Esports | 48c | 1,326$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.75 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tung Tung Bogi | 60c | 750.22$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.1 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Tung Tung Bogi | 61c | 570.68$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.13 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 55c | 450.67$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Way Gaming Esports | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Way Gaming Esports | 7c | 308$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tung Tung Bogi | 45c | 288$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Way Gaming Esports | 41c | 235.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.33 | 505 | 50.7%256 W · 249 L | +34.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked Way Gaming Esports | 38c | 134.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 399 | 40.4%161 W · 238 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Way Gaming Esports | 36c | 129.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Tung Tung Bogi | 64c | 79.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Way Gaming Esports | 20c | 72.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e6…7c34backed Way Gaming Esports | 45c | 56.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…8cc4backed Way Gaming Esports | 41c | 56.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 411 | 51.1%210 W · 201 L | +19.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Way Gaming Esports | 37c | 54.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Way Gaming Esports | 31c | 33.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x050c…bf27backed Way Gaming Esports | 45c | 25.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Way Gaming Esports | 46c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Way Gaming Esports vs Tung Tung Bogi - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Way Gaming Esports vs Tung Tung Bogi (BO3) - LPLOL Group StageTung Tung Bogi won
- LoL: Way Gaming Esports vs Tung Tung Bogi - Game 2 WinnerTung Tung Bogi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.