Lol · resolved market
LoL: Way Gaming Esports vs Tung Tung Bogi (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b5459b42ec98606c451e5da0d24afd0d9a541cc71fab647951330fa64b57fbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tung Tung Bogiof Way Gaming Esports, Tung Tung Bogi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Way Gaming Esports | 53c | 1,916$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.37 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Tung Tung Bogi | 60c | 1,507$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.81 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Tung Tung Bogi | 49c | 1,469$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.69 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…3675backed Tung Tung Bogi | 56c | 1,323$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.18 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Way Gaming Esports | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Way Gaming Esports | 40c | 741$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.4 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf8…2dc8backed Way Gaming Esports | 30c | 619$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.93 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Way Gaming Esports | 38c | 529$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.87 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Way Gaming Esports | 44c | 321.34$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.39 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Way Gaming Esports | 42c | 285.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked Way Gaming Esports | 18c | 281.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 399 | 40.4%161 W · 238 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Tung Tung Bogi | 59c | 249$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 75c | 159.74$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Way Gaming Esports | 40c | 149.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…9b77backed Way Gaming Esports | 37c | 131.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Tung Tung Bogi | 58c | 127.49$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Way Gaming Esports | 19c | 96.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Tung Tung Bogi | 66c | 80.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 465 | 62.4%290 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Way Gaming Esports | 32c | 76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 438 | 37.9%166 W · 272 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Tung Tung Bogi | 54c | 64.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Way Gaming Esports | 46c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Way Gaming Esports | 41c | 58.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 385 | 55.1%212 W · 173 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Tung Tung Bogi | 74c | 51.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…5e34backed Way Gaming Esports | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 100 | 17%17 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Way Gaming Esports | 37c | 47.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Way Gaming Esports | 37c | 47.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Tung Tung Bogi | 54c | 46.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Tung Tung Bogi | 77c | 42.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Way Gaming Esports | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 148 | 31.1%46 W · 102 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Tung Tung Bogi | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Tung Tung Bogi | 58c | 34.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Tung Tung Bogi | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Way Gaming Esports | 34c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Tung Tung Bogi | 74c | 27.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Tung Tung Bogi | 74c | 26.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…a4d3backed Way Gaming Esports | 44c | 25.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed Way Gaming Esports | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked Tung Tung Bogi | 79c | 18.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa20…c732backed Tung Tung Bogi | 75c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Way Gaming Esports vs Tung Tung Bogi (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stagethis page
- LoL: Way Gaming Esports vs Tung Tung Bogi - Game 1 WinnerTung Tung Bogi won
- LoL: Way Gaming Esports vs Tung Tung Bogi - Game 2 WinnerTung Tung Bogi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.