Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kayseri: Alana Subasic vs Duru Soke
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f3ad52674fef3de59248a3d6b3a3c8b81f4619cf122e1aaba94fcd37c056de4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duru Sokeof Alana Subasic, Duru Soke
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Alana Subasic | 1c | 3,858$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Duru Soke | 52c | 1,924$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.81 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alana Subasic | 20c | 1,773$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.05 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Duru Soke | 68c | 1,508$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.64 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed Duru Soke | 75c | 893.65$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.41 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Duru Soke | 47c | 599.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Alana Subasic | 48c | 392.14$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.23 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Duru Soke | 50c | 297.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.64 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Duru Soke | 71c | 250$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.73 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alana Subasic | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Alana Subasic | 66c | 228.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Alana Subasic | 52c | 222$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Alana Subasic | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Alana Subasic | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alana Subasic | 21c | 187.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Alana Subasic | 57c | 176.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 464 | 35.3%164 W · 300 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Duru Soke | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alana Subasic | 51c | 148.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…64e4backed Alana Subasic | 71c | 131.26$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Alana Subasic | 58c | 128.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Duru Soke | 77c | 122$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb7…fad0backed Alana Subasic | 20c | 114.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…1e80backed Duru Soke | 49c | 108.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alana Subasic | 30c | 104$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Alana Subasic | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 282 | 37.9%107 W · 175 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alana Subasic | 26c | 94.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Alana Subasic | 56c | 93.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alana Subasic | 51c | 70.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…2c83backed Alana Subasic | 52c | 66.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Duru Soke | 49c | 65.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1112…90dbbacked Alana Subasic | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Duru Soke | 47c | 63.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alana Subasic | 26c | 62.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alana Subasic | 40c | 57.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alana Subasic | 26c | 53.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Alana Subasic | 47c | 42.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Duru Soke | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Alana Subasic | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Alana Subasic | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Alana Subasic | 50c | 33.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Alana Subasic | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Duru Soke | 65c | 31.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…0b12backed Duru Soke | 52c | 30.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Alana Subasic | 49c | 30.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17b…95cbbacked Alana Subasic | 66c | 30.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Duru Soke | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Duru Soke | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Duru Soke | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Alana Subasic | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Alana Subasic | 67c | 21.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Duru Soke | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Duru Soke | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Duru Soke | 70c | 17.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Duru Soke | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.