Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kayseri: Lars Goran Verwerft vs Melios Efstathiou
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fbff9b402fd2875007cfaf39cdd36e767ad26407ace891acf2b54c58691e8c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Melios Efstathiouof Lars Goran Verwerft, Melios Efstathiou
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 48c | 349.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 30c | 348.4$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.59 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Melios Efstathiou | 60c | 333.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Melios Efstathiou | 52c | 300.62$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.4 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Melios Efstathiou | 66c | 273.16$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 332 | 53.6%178 W · 154 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57df…daa9backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 40c | 226.47$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.59 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Melios Efstathiou | 78c | 220.48$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 38c | 214.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 36c | 157.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Melios Efstathiou | 67c | 131.95$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Melios Efstathiou | 59c | 67.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Melios Efstathiou | 79c | 48.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Melios Efstathiou | 58c | 38.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…1b0cbacked Melios Efstathiou | 54c | 37.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…bfa7backed Melios Efstathiou | 55c | 36.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 282 | 65.6%185 W · 97 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Melios Efstathiou | 66c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 348 | 47.1%164 W · 184 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Melios Efstathiou | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…c9aabacked Melios Efstathiou | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.