Tennis · resolved market
ITF Aldershot: Billy Blaydes vs William Jansen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fc44d65bf1dd7030abb124bf65e9b1ddae0e20a2ff566ff02d020a5ae238350
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billy Blaydesof Billy Blaydes, William Jansen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Billy Blaydes | 55c | 2,917$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.65 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed William Jansen | 41c | 1,674$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked William Jansen | 44c | 1,540$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.93 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Billy Blaydes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked William Jansen | 2c | 846$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked William Jansen | 41c | 774$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.4 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed William Jansen | 24c | 541.75$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.28 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Billy Blaydes | 57c | 262.76$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.82 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Billy Blaydes | 68c | 134.87$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed William Jansen | 31c | 130.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Billy Blaydes | 66c | 128$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Billy Blaydes | 63c | 107.16$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Billy Blaydes | 57c | 106.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed William Jansen | 50c | 86.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Billy Blaydes | 35c | 79.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed William Jansen | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked William Jansen | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed William Jansen | 42c | 44.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Billy Blaydes | 66c | 44.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked William Jansen | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Billy Blaydes | 31c | 39.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Billy Blaydes | 79c | 38.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed William Jansen | 43c | 37.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10be…1c36backed Billy Blaydes | 67c | 37.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed William Jansen | 69c | 34.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed William Jansen | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked William Jansen | 48c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Billy Blaydes | 49c | 27.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed William Jansen | 67c | 26.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Billy Blaydes | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Billy Blaydes | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Billy Blaydes | 55c | 23.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked William Jansen | 69c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…16a8backed William Jansen | 49c | 21.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.