Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x200675e4775c637e85a1554eeda69d58b0ccc86240fc41b25451fe77f9990c3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3288…b8cebacked No | 9c | 940.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8c…f5e2backed Yes | 60c | 743.14$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.11 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 5c | 490.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 36c | 367.92$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 71c | 364.81$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 58c | 344.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 36c | 294.93$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.74 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 14c | 222.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 57c | 206.27$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 67c | 188.13$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.63 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 73c | 181.56$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.98 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff29…f008backed No | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 36c | 161.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.15 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 55c | 138.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 63c | 134.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1b…5571backed Yes | 27c | 124.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0321…19fabacked Yes | 61c | 118.87$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…3554backed Yes | 40c | 117.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 19c | 116.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.91 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 41c | 114.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.88 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 53c | 114.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 44c | 110.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8aa…48ccbacked No | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 36c | 99.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9301backed Yes | 70c | 99.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 16c | 93.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9003…4c59backed Yes | 42c | 76.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 73.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed05…9368backed Yes | 56c | 67.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb938…c094backed Yes | 39c | 63.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…20f9backed No | 44c | 63.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 33c | 63.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 39c | 61.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 63c | 59.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…0c43backed Yes | 26c | 57.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086d…01f7backed Yes | 46c | 57.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aae…e7a0backed Yes | 41c | 54.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70d3…2909backed Yes | 33c | 51.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…ffd5backed Yes | 36c | 49.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fd…59aebacked Yes | 31c | 48.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 42c | 48.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 53c | 47.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…a5fabacked Yes | 29c | 47.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 190 | 59.5%113 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…78aebacked Yes | 32c | 44.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 54c | 44.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 65c | 44.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…2ddfbacked No | 70c | 44.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…f048backed Yes | 43c | 43.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 59c | 43.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…3f6dbacked Yes | 39c | 41.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 55c | 40.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 41c | 40.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 59c | 39.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 62c | 38.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 39c | 38.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…3eb3backed No | 58c | 38.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 74c | 36.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 64c | 36.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…dc40backed No | 58c | 34.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc831…a849backed Yes | 42c | 33.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +167.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 45c | 33.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x029a…8039backed Yes | 42c | 33.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 59c | 32.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb0…c1d7backed Yes | 44c | 32.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 55c | 32.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 39c | 30.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 35c | 30.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 63c | 30.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 72c | 28.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…1450backed No | 76c | 27.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -21.9wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 57c | 26.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked No | 54c | 23.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8be9…845fbacked No | 58c | 21.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked No | 64c | 20.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…a79bbacked No | 60c | 20.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 132 | 15.9%21 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x407e…5bf0backed No | 71c | 20.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…6d95backed No | 74c | 19.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…2cbdbacked No | 57c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…7825backed No | 67c | 17.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 70c | 16.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d4…e3e5backed No | 73c | 15.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 77°F or below on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on April 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.