CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20222558c4cfd00bc2a7d9c2d6bfea5e69ed9d6aab9b69bbb7e3e2493d9aec4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof Sinners, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0478…37c3backed SPARTA | 20c | 8,206$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.31 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sinners | 76c | 6,795$5,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.01 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Sinners | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed SPARTA | 33c | 3,350$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SPARTA | 50c | 3,340$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.24 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sinners | 79c | 1,046$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.87 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sinners | 53c | 1,000$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.88 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sinners | 71c | 999.99$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.47 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed SPARTA | 11c | 952.38$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.76 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Sinners | 73c | 896.25$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.54 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed SPARTA | 30c | 623$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.49 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed SPARTA | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Sinners | 74c | 509$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sinners | 60c | 508.35$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.34 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Sinners | 54c | 461.5$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.29 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked SPARTA | 39c | 455.54$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.88 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed SPARTA | 24c | 444$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Sinners | 72c | 329.18$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked SPARTA | 30c | 309.36$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Sinners | 67c | 285.9$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.65 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed SPARTA | 18c | 270$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed SPARTA | 20c | 251.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed SPARTA | 14c | 249.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed SPARTA | 18c | 239.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed SPARTA | 27c | 220$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Sinners | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Sinners | 73c | 199.38$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Sinners | 74c | 192.02$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Sinners | 74c | 170.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…7039backed SPARTA | 13c | 166.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SPARTA | 27c | 154.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed SPARTA | 43c | 147.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Sinners | 72c | 145.28$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Sinners | 61c | 138.81$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed SPARTA | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Sinners | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed Sinners | 74c | 101.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 271 | 56.1%152 W · 119 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Sinners | 65c | 99.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Sinners | 77c | 91.77$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Sinners | 69c | 86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Sinners | 56c | 74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed SPARTA | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked SPARTA | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Sinners | 77c | 61.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked SPARTA | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…9d33backed Sinners | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Sinners | 59c | 52.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Sinners | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Sinners | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Sinners | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Sinners | 55c | 45.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked SPARTA | 37c | 44.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed SPARTA | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked SPARTA | 27c | 40.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sinners | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked SPARTA | 40c | 35.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Sinners | 75c | 34.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Sinners | 74c | 21.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sinners | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Sinners | 61c | 16.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 PlayoffsSinners won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SPARTA - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)SPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.