CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20e3f2c39bf3d23fd2b62371b2067cccbfec8e269b235b5fae71eabf23b517ad

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: SPARTAof Sinners, SPARTA
Resolved: Aug 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $42,916
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $45,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,916 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed SPARTA	57c	6,002$3,432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,569.91	1,407	38.9%547 W · 860 L	-41.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Sinners	48c	4,041$1,958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,958.23	1,779	59.1%1,052 W · 727 L	+104.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked SPARTA	58c	1,504$878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.55	2,221	41.3%917 W · 1,304 L	-22.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Sinners	61c	1,000$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605.75	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb454…a98cbacked Sinners	56c	1,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-7.4wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4114…f750backed Sinners	13c	915.38$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed SPARTA	55c	605$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.55	194	47.4%92 W · 102 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Sinners	36c	510.1$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.29	752	45.3%341 W · 411 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked SPARTA	55c	469.81$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.9	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed SPARTA	73c	457$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.19	809	42.3%342 W · 467 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Sinners	28c	341.02$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.87	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed Sinners	49c	324.73$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.22	152	44.7%68 W · 84 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Sinners	22c	284.63$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.15	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Sinners	45c	253$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.39	488	51.8%253 W · 235 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Sinners	55c	250$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.5	619	48%297 W · 322 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sinners	24c	241$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.93	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed SPARTA	50c	200$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.05	1,676	51.1%857 W · 819 L	+21.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Sinners	43c	200$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.21	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed SPARTA	53c	196.09$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.6	421	54.6%230 W · 191 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Sinners	49c	172.6$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.81	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1efb…dd8abacked Sinners	50c	138.66$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.33	79	46.8%37 W · 42 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Sinners	39c	129$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.31	557	38.4%214 W · 343 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed SPARTA	58c	128.94$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.15	90	44.4%40 W · 50 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Sinners	51c	125$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.43	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Sinners	60c	123.34$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	122	59%72 W · 50 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Sinners	43c	120$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.6	162	50%81 W · 81 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed SPARTA	60c	117.58$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.03	1,618	46.8%758 W · 860 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Sinners	47c	111$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.59	1,848	41.7%770 W · 1,078 L	-69.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed Sinners	23c	108.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	345	47.5%164 W · 181 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Sinners	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.96	2,214	47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed SPARTA	40c	100$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	1,848	47.6%879 W · 969 L	-55.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Sinners	51c	96.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.64	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Sinners	41c	96.3$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.41	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Sinners	48c	87$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.97	1,304	26.5%345 W · 959 L	-89.4wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Sinners	38c	86$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.68	2,362	46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Sinners	46c	72$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.33	2,136	42.9%916 W · 1,220 L	-68.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Sinners	30c	65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	2,110	47.2%995 W · 1,115 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed SPARTA	42c	59.52$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.52	367	49.3%181 W · 186 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked SPARTA	58c	51.72$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.72	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed SPARTA	58c	51.72$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.72	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	-4.7wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Sinners	49c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.35	3,225	51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L	+88.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed SPARTA	61c	48.94$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.94	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Sinners	31c	48.58$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.91	771	46%355 W · 416 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked SPARTA	66c	40$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.6	150	60.7%91 W · 59 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Sinners	51c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.22	1,630	43.2%704 W · 926 L	-32.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Sinners	45c	37$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.48	1,068	55%587 W · 481 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked SPARTA	45c	35$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.1	2,473	34.6%855 W · 1,618 L	-188.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sinners	66c	30$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.7	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed SPARTA	51c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	203	53.2%108 W · 95 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed SPARTA	40c	30$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	217	50.7%110 W · 107 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked SPARTA	62c	29.37$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.26	503	58.6%295 W · 208 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb66e…ffc2backed SPARTA	37c	29.03$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.29	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	+5.2wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Sinners	62c	23.74$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.72	406	66.3%269 W · 137 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d7…a1ffbacked Sinners	49c	21$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.27	277	46.2%128 W · 149 L	-12.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed SPARTA	69c	15.39$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.72	1,033	53.2%550 W · 483 L	+64.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 PlayoffsSinners won
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SPARTA - Map 2 WinnerSinners won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)SPARTA won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event