MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2054dad55f549e5abd39c0084ac7ffcd704d5bc2d1a9cbd551d0fe54540c6bf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $365,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $364,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 335 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Royals | 47c | 285,107$133,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133,999.07 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 140,030$74,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,814.18 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 71,166$37,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,450.09 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 43,000$22,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,210 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Blue Jays | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Blue Jays | 53c | 10,555$5,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,960.85 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 27c | 10,470$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.92 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 72c | 5,498$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.03 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…a3fbbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 4,900$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Royals | 48c | 3,200$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 42c | 2,814$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.82 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…4832backed Blue Jays | 53c | 1,958$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.03 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Blue Jays | 73c | 1,872$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.44 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Royals | 29c | 1,756$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.99 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Blue Jays | 73c | 1,427$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.39 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Royals | 27c | 1,339$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.02 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Royals | 47c | 1,261$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.82 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 1,222$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.12 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Royals | 46c | 1,069$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.74 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 1,021$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.75 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 22c | 1,002$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.58 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Royals | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 988.38$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.42 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Blue Jays | 52c | 809.99$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.7 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Royals | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 48c | 799.99$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Blue Jays | 53c | 752.51$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.68 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Royals | 47c | 679.18$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.07 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Royals | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Royals | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…5014backed Blue Jays | 52c | 584.75$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.68 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Royals | 46c | 573.38$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.76 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Royals | 35c | 513$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.86 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Blue Jays | 73c | 500$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Royals | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Blue Jays | 75c | 464$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Royals | 48c | 458.33$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…3231backed Royals | 48c | 432.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.84 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Royals | 47c | 427.01$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.69 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Blue Jays | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.09 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Blue Jays | 54c | 408.36$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.84 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…4bacbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…822cbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 355.56$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Royals | 32c | 346.64$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 320.73$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.95 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Blue Jays | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Royals | 29c | 296.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Royals | 4c | 275.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Royals | 48c | 243.87$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.06 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Royals | 47c | 229.74$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Royals | 48c | 222$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 64c | 217.43$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Royals | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Blue Jays | 79c | 204.7$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…7c90backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…9408backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…5836backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…8f62backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…6179backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2f…8cf4backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…d780backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2289…6ceebacked Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ed5abacked Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…51a8backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…0255backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…3c80backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…69d9backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b7…c03ebacked Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe72…10a7backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9558backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c17…9886backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7273…bc26backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…13cdbacked Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…4f1fbacked Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12d…2e6abacked Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…2390backed Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a1…dd3ebacked Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…9ca6backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…2663backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4545…3405backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…d260backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e05…e163backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…59ddbacked Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…6a2fbacked Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…7bf6backed Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…7aa6backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…c2a7backed Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…fd57backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…ba79backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd18…1e0bbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…8443backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…7be5backed Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed2…1bfabacked Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0819…daa2backed Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea7…28aabacked Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…798bbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jays vs. Royalsthis page
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.