Tennis · resolved market
Midland: Anna Frey vs Kayla Day
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20a8fef5dab97e5f86ee2b80648ae89453a296d768dd64b957918f46685ed964
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Freyof Frey, Day
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Day | 64c | 6,360$4,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,053.52 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Frey | 29c | 3,250$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.57 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Frey | 8c | 1,915$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.43 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Frey | 31c | 1,604$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.1 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Day | 69c | 1,226$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.8 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Day | 78c | 1,109$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.17 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ca…ae4abacked Day | 44c | 871.8$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.41 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…9d43backed Frey | 8c | 842.34$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,077%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Frey | 15c | 700$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Day | 45c | 664.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Day | 77c | 636.37$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.45 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Frey | 38c | 583.23$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.75 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Frey | 23c | 500.47$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.99 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Frey | 32c | 348.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.32 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Frey | 8c | 339.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.79 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Frey | 19c | 243.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.89 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Day | 64c | 229.62$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.17 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Frey | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Frey | 34c | 183.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.16 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Day | 69c | 180.24$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.49 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Frey | 25c | 174$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.14 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4c…f10dbacked Frey | 15c | 164.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +558.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Day | 41c | 162.16$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Frey | 7c | 150.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.74 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Day | 52c | 144.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Frey | 24c | 130$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.31 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Frey | 37c | 127.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Day | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Day | 57c | 108.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Frey | 47c | 105.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 273 | 46.5%127 W · 146 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…547ebacked Frey | 26c | 104.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.91 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…6b67backed Frey | 10c | 103.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Frey | 10c | 101.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Day | 73c | 101.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Frey | 10c | 99.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked Frey | 37c | 90$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817e…7c6cbacked Frey | 26c | 88.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Day | 67c | 86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked Frey | 15c | 79.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +6.3wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Frey | 27c | 59.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Frey | 34c | 45.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 444 | 29.7%132 W · 312 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Day | 54c | 42.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Day | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Frey | 48c | 37.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Day | 62c | 36.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Day | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd90…b49abacked Frey | 67c | 29.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…b768backed Day | 77c | 25.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…ad29backed Day | 78c | 17.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.