Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20dd1563d621e2f0b443cec5c4486c99f2c56d60f7418155e1d7861723c1ef96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1fd…dde7backed No | 0c | 9,156$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 26c | 933.33$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.31 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 17c | 811.4$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.69 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 25c | 613.57$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.84 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed No | 79c | 523$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.24 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d9…6b54backed No | 2c | 507.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 60c | 439.84$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.28 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…00c5backed No | 76c | 374.37$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.02 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…5414backed Yes | 12c | 301.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.31 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 55c | 301.13$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.41 | 722 | 22.3%161 W · 561 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 24c | 297.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.46 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 23c | 282$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…f322backed Yes | 26c | 272.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.48 | 255 | 19.2%49 W · 206 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 15c | 265.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.73 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked Yes | 21c | 257.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.3 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 41c | 226.07$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…7104backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 13c | 189.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.19 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 32c | 173$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.77 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…18debacked Yes | 37c | 167$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 71c | 165.02$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.83 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 28c | 134.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 78c | 129.2$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 127.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 18c | 96.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.69 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 54c | 94.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…099abacked No | 60c | 82.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b2…cf28backed No | 65c | 77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…6d11backed No | 75c | 75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 349 | 70.2%245 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde57…76a4backed Yes | 17c | 74.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked No | 76c | 73.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 169 | 68%115 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 28c | 72.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 30c | 72.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed No | 76c | 70.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed No | 72c | 69.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e9…fba8backed Yes | 21c | 69.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 36c | 68.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 23c | 65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 34c | 64.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 34c | 63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…b4d7backed No | 60c | 61.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Yes | 28c | 61.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…ace0backed No | 69c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e5…86f4backed Yes | 46c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 61c | 56.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 22c | 56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…d76ebacked Yes | 20c | 55.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 117 | 29.9%35 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52fc…c095backed Yes | 21c | 53.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879e…e339backed No | 60c | 51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…06d2backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 79c | 47.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 77c | 46.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fd…b67fbacked Yes | 28c | 42.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 75c | 40.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 33c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked No | 75c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…b95cbacked No | 35c | 30.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes | 36c | 29.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…b73fbacked Yes | 51c | 29.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +29.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x84e3…3dfdbacked No | 72c | 27.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 148 | 78.4%116 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73e0backed No | 59c | 26.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…5c58backed No | 77c | 25.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…0589backed No | 79c | 25.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 86 | 73.3%63 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…385dbacked No | 74c | 24.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 75c | 24.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…9095backed No | 80c | 22.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 173 | 76.3%132 W · 41 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 67c | 20.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3172…e940backed No | 72c | 20.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed No | 79c | 20.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc9…fc76backed No | 77c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 74c | 14.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 197 | 64.5%127 W · 70 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 77c | 13.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 102°F or higher on May 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 100-101°F on May 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on May 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.