TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Virginia Cavaliers vs. Virginia Tech Hokies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virginia Tech Hokiesof Virginia Cavaliers, Virginia Tech Hokies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,478
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,478 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x52b4…34a8backed Virginia Tech Hokies48c7,799$3,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,059.5535452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked Virginia Cavaliers68c5,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.971872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+57.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Virginia Tech Hokies59c4,119$2,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.251,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Virginia Tech Hokies47c3,985$1,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,121.85,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Virginia Cavaliers44c3,587$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.091,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Virginia Tech Hokies34c2,959$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.5816056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Virginia Cavaliers1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Virginia Tech Hokies31c2,297$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.2155657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde6d…0926backed Virginia Tech Hokies54c2,163$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.093834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Virginia Tech Hokies45c2,006$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.442,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Virginia Cavaliers45c1,835$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.451,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Virginia Cavaliers55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Virginia Cavaliers52c1,790$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.455,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Virginia Cavaliers65c1,524$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80ee…5cf0backed Virginia Cavaliers54c1,210$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.262853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies49c1,180$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.654,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Virginia Cavaliers67c1,114$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.511,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2f…3794backed Virginia Cavaliers27c892.22$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Virginia Tech Hokies35c837.3$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.25052%26 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6909…36b5backed Virginia Tech Hokies63c765.83$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.451533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Virginia Tech Hokies39c757.82$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.7119237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Virginia Cavaliers50c719.06$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.122,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Virginia Cavaliers39c717.92$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.82,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Virginia Cavaliers66c690.85$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.0312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Virginia Cavaliers55c681.67$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.342,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Virginia Cavaliers69c588.52$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.912,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Virginia Tech Hokies69c567.05$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.054973.5%36 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Virginia Cavaliers53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010757.9%62 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Virginia Cavaliers69c564$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.1632751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Virginia Tech Hokies34c532.94$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.947727.3%21 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Virginia Cavaliers55c518.35$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.3373549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Virginia Cavaliers52c453$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.5622645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e7a…830abacked Virginia Cavaliers38c450.69$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e57…21cbbacked Virginia Cavaliers55c409.5$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.872236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Virginia Tech Hokies33c409.44$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.044,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Virginia Cavaliers46c401.81$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.0632343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies54c344.99$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1823158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Virginia Cavaliers55c341.7$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4845644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Virginia Tech Hokies31c304.71$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.252,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Virginia Cavaliers7c300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Virginia Tech Hokies38c272.97$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7848051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc393…66f9backed Virginia Cavaliers67c242.82$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Virginia Tech Hokies33c215$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.4542327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Virginia Cavaliers41c200$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2543450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc226…497dbacked Virginia Cavaliers48c193.24$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.952347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b96…f098backed Virginia Tech Hokies33c152.18$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.564621.7%10 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3798…27fabacked Virginia Tech Hokies9c144$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.043312.1%4 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Virginia Tech Hokies39c140$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.558737.9%33 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Virginia Cavaliers19c139$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.121,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Virginia Cavaliers49c138$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9715442.9%66 W · 88 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Virginia Cavaliers76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Virginia Cavaliers69c130$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.73164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies30c119$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.31,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Virginia Tech Hokies50c105$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.932,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Virginia Tech Hokies29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715942.4%25 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Virginia Cavaliers73c99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1612840.6%52 W · 76 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Virginia Tech Hokies38c93.19$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8320051.5%103 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaced…e23abacked Virginia Tech Hokies30c83.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.751154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Virginia Tech Hokies31c83$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.313,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Virginia Tech Hokies26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.925133.3%17 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies45c73.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.335253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Virginia Tech Hokies32c65.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.121535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Virginia Tech Hokies32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.52512%3 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-52.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Virginia Cavaliers52c61.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.14330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Virginia Tech Hokies51c59.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.492,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Virginia Tech Hokies53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.62748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Virginia Cavaliers27c52.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1923941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x156f…6887backed Virginia Cavaliers67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.53158.1%18 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked Virginia Tech Hokies75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Virginia Tech Hokies44c47.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8711958.8%70 W · 49 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c75…3e93backed Virginia Tech Hokies69c47.52$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Virginia Tech Hokies31c42.89$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7536942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Virginia Cavaliers65c42.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2817544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0361…b72cbacked Virginia Tech Hokies52c41.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Virginia Tech Hokies32c35.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9221342.3%90 W · 123 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e65…680abacked Virginia Cavaliers60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Virginia Tech Hokies42c30.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.521,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Virginia Cavaliers52c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4544955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbecf…3cf7backed Virginia Cavaliers43c28.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a0…7303backed Virginia Tech Hokies54c28.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.03933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cef…f50abacked Virginia Cavaliers69c24.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Virginia Cavaliers59c20.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.191,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.