MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x210e6727eebff1e9641b83e3a3951a59a9d811d935d878b9852a7a6296402115
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Kia Tigers, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 1,021$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.06 | 801 | 47.7%382 W · 419 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 776.03$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Samsung Lions | 58c | 597$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.2 | 1,438 | 51%734 W · 704 L | -18.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 44c | 594.92$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.59 | 214 | 48.6%104 W · 110 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Samsung Lions | 16c | 481.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 355.7$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.45 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Samsung Lions | 21c | 262.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 235.78$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.98 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795b…a25cbacked Kia Tigers | 43c | 213$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Samsung Lions | 35c | 175$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 1,822 | 49.2%897 W · 925 L | -25.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 171.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 164.76$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Kia Tigers | 75c | 129.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 119.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Samsung Lions | 57c | 114$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 108.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 1,224 | 54%661 W · 563 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…69f6backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f5…42cabacked Samsung Lions | 57c | 97.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Samsung Lions | 77c | 97.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,205 | 49%591 W · 614 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 97.03$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kia Tigers | 48c | 89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 1,543 | 48.6%750 W · 793 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 84.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kia Tigers | 66c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Samsung Lions | 58c | 51.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Samsung Lions | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 44.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Samsung Lions | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 39.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 4,524 | 48.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L | -42.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 39.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 1,839 | 53.9%992 W · 847 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…667dbacked Kia Tigers | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…9c83backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Kia Tigers | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 31.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 30.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 902 | 48.4%437 W · 465 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 605 | 39%236 W · 369 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 27.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1,014 | 44.8%454 W · 560 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 26.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Kia Tigers | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Kia Tigers | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 477 | 46.8%223 W · 254 L | +26.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Kia Tigers | 44c | 24.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.