Tennis · resolved market
Roehampton: John Echeverria vs Billy Blaydes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x215b9969795ada2ddf74f42d850bc53e3d017c7204cd0aebdd62cb5c336844c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billy Blaydesof John Echeverria, Billy Blaydes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed John Echeverria | 61c | 4,813$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.99 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Billy Blaydes | 52c | 3,771$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.62 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…ecb8backed John Echeverria | 64c | 3,516$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Billy Blaydes | 39c | 3,000$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.52 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed John Echeverria | 10c | 2,026$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.6 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +122%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Billy Blaydes | 40c | 1,970$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.23 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Billy Blaydes | 40c | 1,719$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.17 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Billy Blaydes | 76c | 1,606$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.54 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Billy Blaydes | 66c | 1,583$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.91 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked John Echeverria | 45c | 1,512$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.75 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…7982backed John Echeverria | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 22.7%22 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Billy Blaydes | 74c | 1,136$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.7 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c28…9844backed John Echeverria | 14c | 1,100$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked John Echeverria | 65c | 769.2$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed John Echeverria | 42c | 668.71$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.19 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Billy Blaydes | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9e…48cdbacked John Echeverria | 6c | 335.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Billy Blaydes | 40c | 330.26$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.86 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed John Echeverria | 27c | 270.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Billy Blaydes | 45c | 262.95$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.93 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Billy Blaydes | 61c | 183.23$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed John Echeverria | 57c | 178$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.18 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Billy Blaydes | 47c | 162.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed John Echeverria | 13c | 158.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 329 | 37.1%122 W · 207 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed John Echeverria | 26c | 157.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Billy Blaydes | 63c | 144.89$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3db…c173backed John Echeverria | 12c | 119.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Billy Blaydes | 35c | 114.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed John Echeverria | 25c | 111.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 242 | 31%75 W · 167 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Billy Blaydes | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 279 | 43.4%121 W · 158 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked John Echeverria | 57c | 93.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked Billy Blaydes | 39c | 91.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked John Echeverria | 64c | 88.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked John Echeverria | 25c | 82.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Billy Blaydes | 46c | 81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Billy Blaydes | 77c | 69.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed John Echeverria | 47c | 62.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed John Echeverria | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…dd02backed John Echeverria | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Billy Blaydes | 56c | 54.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked John Echeverria | 56c | 52.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -17.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…9980backed John Echeverria | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 221 | 43.9%97 W · 124 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked John Echeverria | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed John Echeverria | 63c | 47.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed John Echeverria | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 287 | 64.1%184 W · 103 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…0af9backed Billy Blaydes | 39c | 37.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 128 | 39.1%50 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…e104backed Billy Blaydes | 39c | 37.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Billy Blaydes | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.