Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21719ad0f52252da062f57feffb292dccccd0e22bbddaee7c454a5156a340650
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 66c | 568.73$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.76 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 35c | 499.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.11 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 30c | 291.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 288.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 31c | 245.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 27c | 205.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 24c | 173.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 58c | 149.63$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 77c | 141.54$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…71d7backed No | 71c | 140.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 333 | 73%243 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 27c | 139.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 41c | 124$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 21c | 123.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 67c | 115$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 29c | 107.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6973…b296backed Yes | 41c | 107.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 57c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…04eabacked No | 70c | 97.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 201 | 72.6%146 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 57c | 83.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2451…09fabacked Yes | 29c | 82.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 221 | 25.3%56 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 23c | 82.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed Yes | 15c | 74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 44c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 70c | 69.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 41c | 65.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 71c | 63.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…aef2backed Yes | 31c | 59.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 30c | 58.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbd…eac5backed Yes | 27c | 56.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 27c | 55.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…085cbacked Yes | 49c | 54.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 616 | 76.3%470 W · 146 L | +92.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7f42…adbebacked Yes | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 71c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 75c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eaa…3561backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c1…9615backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 27c | 49.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 49.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 76c | 47.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 74c | 47.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…a93ebacked No | 73c | 46.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 46.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 72c | 44.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 55c | 44.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 68c | 44.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 37c | 41.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 41c | 41.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 71c | 37.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 31c | 37.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 37.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 68c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1b…da1ebacked No | 75c | 36.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 43c | 34.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 310 | 50.3%156 W · 154 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…2b99backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…603fbacked No | 70c | 27.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 74c | 27.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…a763backed No | 73c | 26.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…ab1abacked No | 64c | 25.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 254 | 66.9%170 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…940ebacked No | 71c | 25.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…7ef6backed No | 71c | 22.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 116 | 70.7%82 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 66c | 22.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 71c | 21.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…10ffbacked No | 71c | 20.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e04…67f4backed No | 71c | 20.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…5cf7backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 208 | 52.4%109 W · 99 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…c0a7backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 68c | 19.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 73c | 19.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 76c | 18.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 69c | 15.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 80c | 13.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.72 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 73°F or below on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.