Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22e90710786cd8a175f72f2d396ab0c8aa2963a3b7c188ab9bca22795c12470b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RC Strasbourg Alsaceof Lille OSC, RC Strasbourg Alsace
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Lille OSC | 17c | 1,250$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…eddfbacked Lille OSC | 19c | 1,050$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 75c | 721$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.25 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Lille OSC | 19c | 614.42$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.74 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Lille OSC | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Lille OSC | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Lille OSC | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Lille OSC | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Lille OSC | 25c | 199.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Lille OSC | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Lille OSC | 18c | 104.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Lille OSC | 18c | 83.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 75c | 71.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Lille OSC | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)this page
- Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.