Ligue 1 · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf18ba622fdf41e5ecffc86adfe0c866a4b6cbcc74000148b6ef4d84d42e66694
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x771c…18f2backed Under | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…0fa8backed Under | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 72c | 4,203$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.16 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 2,544$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.53 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Under | 1c | 2,313$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…f8a0backed Over | 25c | 1,400$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +297.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 818.62$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.93 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 2c | 702.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.28per pick | 24cpaid | +330.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 29c | 612.05$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.51 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 42c | 552.38$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.38 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Over | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 75c | 324.04$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.28 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Over | 25c | 240$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +179.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 28c | 210.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.57 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 69c | 205$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.45 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Under | 72c | 195$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 69c | 171$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 41c | 156.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Under | 49c | 111$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 70c | 100.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…fef9backed Over | 67c | 76.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 56.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…17c4backed Over | 23c | 55.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…3848backed Over | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 28c | 53.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x553e…5526backed Over | 29c | 49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Under | 34c | 47.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 35c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 50c | 30.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee1…ae99backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5this page
- Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.