TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$232,963
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$238,091

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,963 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under50c161,742$81,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,021.092356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,00062648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Over50c30,150$15,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,075666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over50c22,627$11,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,340.0113348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over50c20,000$10,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,899.976454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over50c17,977$8,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,075.735650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x234c…0fa8backed Under0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x771c…18f2backed Under0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c6,884$2,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,962.051,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over50c6,097$3,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,069.3571140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over50c3,756$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.6523151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5005060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.996060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98031049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+51.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Under3c1,730$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.224348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over77c1,292$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.562060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7505729.8%17 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c1,007$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.2487344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Under14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.75040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under22c833.61$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.031,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3926756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over52c599.99$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2883951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c57…f939backed Over51c545.1$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.16100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.481560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c499.84$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.9229949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over51c451$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.998444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over49c432$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.846926.1%18 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over51c420$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.817756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2107163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over51c419.99$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.813655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19623260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under49c367.75$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.23551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over50c330$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16511256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over50c330$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16511556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1719145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1508263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1508460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over50c280$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1409355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under41c273.74$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8459348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc385…8eb0backed Over77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.74366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12520860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b89…baa4backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over50c190$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8510653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under52c163$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.761154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757655.3%42 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7510952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over50c145.45$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.736334.9%22 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe83…3b00backed Over50c137.84$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.921346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over41c131.71$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.711952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over50c123.62$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.938942.7%38 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6010556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603560%21 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6010756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over50c118.81$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4126550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.283174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.384136.6%15 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a9…c0a7backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503265.6%21 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+36.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539355.9%52 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3592…c81abacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over53c94.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.497853.8%42 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Over45c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.55044%22 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over47c89$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.17922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b79…a497backed Under51c85.22$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4630%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over47c84.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.842944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.25052%26 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bf…231fbacked Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4f…5459backed Over51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over47c77$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.73557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under49c74.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.633745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under49c73.64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.345851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over51c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.310652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.672142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0424051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over78c65.06$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.315650%28 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Over48c63.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.091145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.