Ligue 1 · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaad9471d4ec288b8ec84523a5a16516ccd60aa365e36d6ff61ec07766024ec6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 8,469$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.09 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 72c | 4,787$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.71 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Under | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 71c | 3,000$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 72c | 1,672$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.06 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 433.45$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.3 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Over | 68c | 294.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.19 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 67cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 24c | 250.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 75c | 100.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 25c | 100.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…b19cbacked Over | 76c | 100.87$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 64c | 79.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…e72ebacked Over | 71c | 60.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…fef9backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb49…f849backed Over | 73c | 30.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Over | 72c | 28.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…c577backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5this page
- Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.