Ligue 1 · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c3e8d333110afbbb09122cd97e14705d20f746172db455c2fbd122680f01d25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 1,436$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.58 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 1,322$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.46 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,249$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.4 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 56c | 640.54$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 58c | 520.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 403.75$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.97 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 58c | 304.15$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.61 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 39c | 293.5$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.76 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 73c | 285.35$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked No | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 43c | 187.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.51 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…527abacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 58c | 155.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Yes | 53c | 95.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 74c | 73.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…b43cbacked Yes | 52c | 68.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 42c | 63.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Yes | 75c | 58.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 66cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…8f3bbacked Yes | 43c | 57.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked No | 37c | 53.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Yes | 57c | 38.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…1d08backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 43c | 30.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e3…0ca1backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…b331backed Yes | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 72c | 20.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.