Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Georgia State Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23161f9b133586f6702ffa5c1b1877aa49e609d249349e15864405441c007c31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia State Panthersof Marshall Thundering Herd, Georgia State Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 52c | 2,019$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Georgia State Panthers | 48c | 1,378$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.42 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Georgia State Panthers | 45c | 1,353$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.86 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Georgia State Panthers | 35c | 1,259$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.18 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Georgia State Panthers | 33c | 917.52$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.57 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Georgia State Panthers | 37c | 736.06$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.15 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 64c | 719$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.35 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 67c | 603$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.01 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Georgia State Panthers | 39c | 456.2$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.01 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 49c | 371$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.89 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 71c | 352.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 70c | 319$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.79 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Georgia State Panthers | 15c | 282$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.7 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 70c | 281.11$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.61 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 62c | 275$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.9 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 42c | 238.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 52c | 142.36$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 27c | 95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 23c | 63.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 64c | 55.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Georgia State Panthers | 27c | 46.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Georgia State Panthers | 63c | 45.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Georgia State Panthers | 36c | 41.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Georgia State Panthers | 35c | 39.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Georgia State Panthers | 34c | 37.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 65c | 29.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Georgia State Panthersthis page
- Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Georgia State Panthers: O/U 150.5Over won
- Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Georgia State Panthers: O/U 152.5Over won
- Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Georgia State Panthers: O/U 153.5Over won
- Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-4.5)Georgia State Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.