Music · resolved market
Will "The Sin: Bliss" - ENHYPEN first week album sales be between 120k and 140k?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x233534acbc09665a177371706c0855dd41b16913524d9ee215915007c9f6366a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2128…f203backed No | 52c | 498.65$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +158.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed No | 53c | 420$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked No | 51c | 278.34$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.39 | 153 | 62.1%95 W · 58 L | +12.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 48c | 216$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 48c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed Yes | 38c | 190$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 21c | 186.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 73c | 179.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 166$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 233 | 39.5%92 W · 141 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…9894backed Yes | 11c | 115.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3749…4094backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 30c | 76.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…d092backed Yes | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 49c | 56.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 73c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e4bebacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed Yes | 50c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bb…a884backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…b608backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…2ad3backed No | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 48c | 28.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13c…fc9bbacked Yes | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5907…a780backed Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc88…931cbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6e…70fabacked No | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Sin: Bliss" - ENHYPEN first week album sales be between 120k and 140k?this page
- Will "The Sin: Bliss" - ENHYPEN first week album sales be between 100k and 120k?Yes won
- Will "The Sin: Bliss" - ENHYPEN first week album sales be between 80k and 100k?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.