MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x239859481c017ee1f2aadb13333d5d8ec7a3f63cf2623405c258ee4e5ca43be3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Mariners, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 55c | 10,786$5,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,946.71 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners | 34c | 9,711$3,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,389.47 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ba…d879backed Mariners | 58c | 8,327$4,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538.93 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 42c | 5,286$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.13 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Athletics | 62c | 3,400$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.66 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Mariners | 44c | 2,955$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.55 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Athletics | 76c | 2,912$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.84 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…7892backed Athletics | 61c | 1,703$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 39c | 1,503$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.75 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners | 47c | 1,211$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.81 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Athletics | 53c | 1,100$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Athletics | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 49c | 916.83$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 53c | 738.4$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.71 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Athletics | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Athletics | 54c | 420.08$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.94 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Mariners | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mariners | 57c | 400.36$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.55 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mariners | 16c | 375$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Mariners | 57c | 351.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.73 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Mariners | 48c | 155.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.08 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Athletics | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Athletics | 52c | 142.35$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mariners | 14c | 141.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.87 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fb…ced0backed Mariners | 49c | 127.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mariners | 48c | 125.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Athletics | 53c | 121$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics | 46c | 121$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423b…0972backed Athletics | 54c | 119.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…9e51backed Athletics | 54c | 114.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Mariners | 46c | 114.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mariners | 26c | 108.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a2…59c9backed Mariners | 48c | 105.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Athletics | 53c | 102$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Athletics | 52c | 96.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked Athletics | 51c | 88.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Athletics | 51c | 79.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mariners | 46c | 76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Athletics | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…5685backed Mariners | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 48c | 40.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Athletics | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Athletics | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Athletics | 43c | 35.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Athletics | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Athletics | 53c | 28.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Mariners | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed Athletics | 55c | 24.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…4b7ebacked Mariners | 49c | 22.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Athletics | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.