Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23bcbe0d89aa7060d1d83785f257981f0daa409282221d561cf03a6cf7d3f3ef

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Eintracht Frankfurtof Eternal Fire, Eintracht Frankfurt
Resolved: Aug 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $91,803
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $93,645

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,803 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa103…1c14backed Eternal Fire	48c	12,000$5,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,760	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.8wins	-0.17per pick	48cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Eintracht Frankfurt	63c	9,870$6,178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,692.13	533	55.3%295 W · 238 L	+24.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Eintracht Frankfurt	59c	8,533$5,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,490.85	563	57.9%326 W · 237 L	+36.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Eternal Fire	28c	2,563$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$721.56	565	51.2%289 W · 276 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked Eintracht Frankfurt	79c	2,021$1,596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.55	18	83.3%15 W · 3 L	+5.1wins	+0.29per pick	55cpaid	+68.6%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Eternal Fire	40c	2,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-26%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Eternal Fire	46c	1,838$855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$854.53	223	46.6%104 W · 119 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Eintracht Frankfurt	54c	1,137$615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522.58	785	62.8%493 W · 292 L	+56.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Eternal Fire	34c	1,100$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	253	36.4%92 W · 161 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Eternal Fire	53c	904.4$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.78	930	49.4%459 W · 471 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed Eternal Fire	46c	828.92$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.53	133	55.6%74 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Eternal Fire	23c	809$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.31	509	44.6%227 W · 282 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Eternal Fire	31c	752$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.13	1,601	37.5%600 W · 1,001 L	-75.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Eintracht Frankfurt	48c	602.08$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.7	134	49.3%66 W · 68 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked Eternal Fire	56c	600$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.14	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Eintracht Frankfurt	51c	578.32$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.61	1,247	49.6%619 W · 628 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Eternal Fire	45c	538.32$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.73	689	49.5%341 W · 348 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Eintracht Frankfurt	41c	530.71$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.22	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Eintracht Frankfurt	50c	480$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.29	463	47.1%218 W · 245 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Eintracht Frankfurt	62c	423.31$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.86	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Eternal Fire	25c	417.23$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.06	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb595…4b77backed Eternal Fire	22c	414.61$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Eintracht Frankfurt	53c	367.48$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.11	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked Eternal Fire	42c	367$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.86	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-3.5wins	-0.18per pick	48cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed03…1caabacked Eintracht Frankfurt	45c	292$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.92	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Eternal Fire	39c	286$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.83	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Eternal Fire	15c	253.33$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	145	52.4%76 W · 69 L	+10.4wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed Eternal Fire	53c	235$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.06	255	55.7%142 W · 113 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Eternal Fire	31c	202.61$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.32	600	22.7%136 W · 464 L	-26.3wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Eintracht Frankfurt	51c	202.46$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.19	396	46%182 W · 214 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Eintracht Frankfurt	51c	191$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.59	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Eternal Fire	49c	170$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.94	697	22.8%159 W · 538 L	-94.4wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7ae4…9b8fbacked Eintracht Frankfurt	62c	168.4$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.79	103	48.5%50 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Eintracht Frankfurt	49c	159$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.87	281	43.4%122 W · 159 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Eternal Fire	12c	155$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.35	142	52.1%74 W · 68 L	+11.5wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x42db…3816backed Eternal Fire	53c	141$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.73	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Eternal Fire	37c	127.17$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.07	907	33.1%300 W · 607 L	-89.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3d34…e654backed Eternal Fire	18c	109$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.62	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Eintracht Frankfurt	51c	99$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.6	811	34.9%283 W · 528 L	-60.9wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83dd…1517backed Eternal Fire	58c	85.93$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Eternal Fire	41c	84.29$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.56	420	51.9%218 W · 202 L	-21.1wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Eintracht Frankfurt	60c	84.13$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.64	389	50.6%197 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd09f…521abacked Eternal Fire	53c	83$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.99	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Eternal Fire	52c	80.08$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.64	264	47.3%125 W · 139 L	+9.6wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Eternal Fire	57c	80$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	50	48%24 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6818…8f14backed Eintracht Frankfurt	53c	75.03$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.03	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca9…1799backed Eintracht Frankfurt	43c	65.11$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.11	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eintracht Frankfurt	69c	64.51$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	1,376	47.1%648 W · 728 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Eintracht Frankfurt	51c	63.27$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	267	38.2%102 W · 165 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Eternal Fire	49c	61.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	519	48.4%251 W · 268 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94e8…f707backed Eintracht Frankfurt	68c	58.9$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.9	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-5.3wins	-0.11per pick	58cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e99…2229backed Eintracht Frankfurt	66c	53.21$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.21	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8093…9d0dbacked Eternal Fire	39c	51.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked Eintracht Frankfurt	60c	50.17$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.17	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa78e…7cbcbacked Eternal Fire	32c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	109	42.2%46 W · 63 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ce…3f1dbacked Eternal Fire	58c	48.27$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+3.9wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Eintracht Frankfurt	65c	46.03$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.26	273	60.1%164 W · 109 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09b7…5f6bbacked Eternal Fire	50c	44$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	100	61%61 W · 39 L	+9.6wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Eternal Fire	50c	42.62$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.16	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa62b…58aabacked Eintracht Frankfurt	60c	40.25$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.1	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Eintracht Frankfurt	53c	40$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.63	385	48.6%187 W · 198 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa2…5df6backed Eintracht Frankfurt	51c	40$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Eintracht Frankfurt	40c	38.71$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.04	543	42.4%230 W · 313 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee71…47c2backed Eintracht Frankfurt	58c	35$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Eternal Fire	48c	32.08$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	164	20.1%33 W · 131 L	-20.1wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaf19…8869backed Eintracht Frankfurt	53c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Eintracht Frankfurt	61c	27.47$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	169	63.3%107 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Eintracht Frankfurt	38c	26.32$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.32	68	26.5%18 W · 50 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Eintracht Frankfurt	64c	25.14$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.04	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Eintracht Frankfurt	58c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.58	556	37.6%209 W · 347 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Eternal Fire	47c	23.93$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.34	653	47.3%309 W · 344 L	-18.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Eintracht Frankfurt	59c	23.44$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.59	321	57.6%185 W · 136 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed Eintracht Frankfurt	52c	23.08$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.08	438	43.6%191 W · 247 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Eintracht Frankfurt	48c	21.27$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.06	216	41.7%90 W · 126 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb47…4737backed Eintracht Frankfurt	69c	14.99$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.71	44	77.3%34 W · 10 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	68cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-InsEintracht Frankfurt won
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 2 WinnerEintracht Frankfurt won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event