Tennis · resolved market
Roehampton: Elmer Moeller vs Ivan Ivanov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x245689e238e629f57ac9ae0a2f6ed8084974bf461fba805e9368b240a81af0af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elmer Moellerof Elmer Moeller, Ivan Ivanov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ivan Ivanov | 13c | 26,677$3,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,401.92 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ivan Ivanov | 13c | 7,584$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.62 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Ivan Ivanov | 3c | 7,227$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.14 | 54 | 7.4%4 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Elmer Moeller | 76c | 1,971$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.35 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Ivan Ivanov | 1c | 1,539$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…774cbacked Elmer Moeller | 80c | 1,535$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.12 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Elmer Moeller | 64c | 1,018$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.6 | 258 | 43.8%113 W · 145 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Elmer Moeller | 69c | 826.09$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.09 | 392 | 56.6%222 W · 170 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Elmer Moeller | 72c | 558.17$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.17 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Ivan Ivanov | 19c | 352.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Ivan Ivanov | 31c | 329.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 980 | 55.4%543 W · 437 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…f972backed Ivan Ivanov | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Elmer Moeller | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 482 | 58.1%280 W · 202 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Ivan Ivanov | 17c | 131.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 1,904 | 44.1%839 W · 1,065 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Ivan Ivanov | 24c | 124.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Ivan Ivanov | 34c | 117$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ivan Ivanov | 29c | 109.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…8fa3backed Ivan Ivanov | 29c | 102.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Elmer Moeller | 71c | 100.18$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Ivan Ivanov | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 593 | 47.4%281 W · 312 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Ivan Ivanov | 29c | 86.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Ivan Ivanov | 19c | 78.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Elmer Moeller | 76c | 73.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ivan Ivanov | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Ivan Ivanov | 30c | 63.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ivan Ivanov | 30c | 61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Elmer Moeller | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 416 | 64.4%268 W · 148 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Elmer Moeller | 71c | 52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Elmer Moeller | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 710 | 45.4%322 W · 388 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Elmer Moeller | 76c | 41.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 370 | 65.1%241 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Elmer Moeller | 75c | 38.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Elmer Moeller | 70c | 25.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 208 | 66.3%138 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Elmer Moeller | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 80 | 72.5%58 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Elmer Moeller | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 190 | 64.7%123 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Elmer Moeller | 70c | 18.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Elmer Moeller | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 304 | 65.5%199 W · 105 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Elmer Moeller | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 375 | 58.1%218 W · 157 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Elmer Moeller | 70c | 16.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 309 | 69.6%215 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.