Premier League · resolved market
Will Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25496e1102b531e51abcae29f9b5379584dd660896146eb5f346fe8db4e1d2c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 5,818$4,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.66 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 22c | 3,210$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.2 | 351 | 28.5%100 W · 251 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 27c | 1,788$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.36 | 1,028 | 36.2%372 W · 656 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4705…a7dbbacked Yes | 24c | 1,656$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 26c | 1,169$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.95 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 80c | 1,115$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.37 | 601 | 47.8%287 W · 314 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 25c | 590.66$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.56 | 772 | 41.6%321 W · 451 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 539.11$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 6,225 | 45.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L | -34.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 500.23$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.35 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…5695backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 76c | 270$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 75c | 241.4$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 25c | 176.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 1,328 | 42.4%563 W · 765 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 25c | 157.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 138.07$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 78c | 102.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 24c | 60.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 749 | 50.7%380 W · 369 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 52.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 2,613 | 47.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 25c | 40.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 369 | 51.2%189 W · 180 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked No | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-08-25?No won
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-08-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.