Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-08-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcf6d4d1fe0f70810bc5ac0090b018d84c444d2396ba7eeacf8c2170633ca929
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 11,137$3,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,917.1 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 60c | 9,180$5,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,633.11 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 52c | 7,108$3,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,664.83 | 1,218 | 32.2%392 W · 826 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 64c | 6,244$4,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.12 | 1,028 | 36.2%372 W · 656 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.97 | 330 | 48.2%159 W · 171 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Yes | 65c | 3,360$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 22c | 2,226$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.39 | 601 | 47.8%287 W · 314 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 45c | 2,000$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.97 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Yes | 66c | 1,508$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 59c | 1,072$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.6 | 218 | 52.3%114 W · 104 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 80c | 963.35$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.6 | 6,225 | 45.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L | -34.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed No | 5c | 862.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 29c | 857.49$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.44 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 35c | 727.52$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.39 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 40c | 677.71$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.48 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 2c | 640.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 36c | 563.17$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.93 | 2,613 | 47.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 35c | 534.89$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.85 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 41c | 522$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.14 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 4c | 450$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 59c | 344.42$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.21 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122a…2ccbbacked No | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 60c | 228.56$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.57 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 51c | 213.85$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.85 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bc…c93dbacked Yes | 67c | 210.75$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 59c | 210$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 595 | 51.3%305 W · 290 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 60c | 196.4$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.84 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 59c | 169.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 859 | 52.7%453 W · 406 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…a901backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 60c | 140.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 25c | 139.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Yes | 40c | 126.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 42c | 122.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 376 | 38.3%144 W · 232 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 62c | 104$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 60c | 104$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…9e05backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 96.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 1,713 | 52.8%905 W · 808 L | +31.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed No | 62c | 96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 71.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 685 | 39.9%273 W · 412 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…8569backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 50c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 116 | 77.6%90 W · 26 L | +23.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed No | 31c | 54.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 968 | 43.8%424 W · 544 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 49.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 657 | 44.6%293 W · 364 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 77c | 49.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 1,176 | 57.4%675 W · 501 L | +40.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 67c | 49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 1,080 | 45.2%488 W · 592 L | -19.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb994…d4b7backed No | 61c | 40.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed No | 60c | 39.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 136 | 61%83 W · 53 L | +13.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…007abacked Yes | 66c | 38.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Yes | 38c | 37.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Yes | 41c | 37.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Yes | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 40c | 31.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…6b9abacked Yes | 40c | 31.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2055…1488backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…df85backed Yes | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…5d98backed No | 45c | 25.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…30f7backed No | 62c | 21.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked No | 59c | 17.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…b0c4backed Yes | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 68c | 16.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 68c | 16.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bd…5e87backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 74c | 15.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 313 | 55.9%175 W · 138 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-08-25?this page
- Will Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-08-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.