Premier League · resolved market
Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-08-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fe5ad5be9bcb03daeb222123b5895ded68619ed1723b09391af447693828715
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 34c | 12,853$4,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,396.4 | 878 | 48.3%424 W · 454 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Yes | 36c | 12,100$4,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,356.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 64c | 8,400$5,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 64c | 5,600$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.67 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 29c | 4,464$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.43 | 351 | 28.5%100 W · 251 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 36c | 2,362$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.19 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 22c | 2,106$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.13 | 1,028 | 36.2%372 W · 656 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 34c | 2,000$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.19 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 66c | 1,788$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.12 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 36c | 1,561$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.51 | 749 | 50.7%380 W · 369 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 1,528$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.05 | 6,225 | 45.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L | -34.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 36c | 1,511$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.52 | 859 | 52.7%453 W · 406 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 65c | 1,406$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.21 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 35c | 1,032$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.19 | 1,328 | 42.4%563 W · 765 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 65c | 1,016$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.57 | 601 | 47.8%287 W · 314 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4705…a7dbbacked Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 67c | 716.8$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.09 | 1,218 | 32.2%392 W · 826 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…5695backed Yes | 34c | 577.03$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 470.97$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.66 | 2,613 | 47.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 15c | 449$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 437.17$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 657 | 44.6%293 W · 364 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 35c | 418.43$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.45 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x599d…c492backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 65c | 306.15$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.15 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 34c | 263.21$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.11 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 355 | 34.6%123 W · 232 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 65c | 219.67$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.89 | 506 | 49.8%252 W · 254 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 36c | 219.19$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 1,821 | 34.6%630 W · 1,191 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 195 | 28.7%56 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b9…60c6backed No | 67c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 65c | 190$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 225 | 37.8%85 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 66c | 170.51$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 218 | 52.3%114 W · 104 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4c18backed Yes | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 34c | 152.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -10.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 36c | 141$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…94febacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 36c | 138.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…eab5backed No | 64c | 124.04$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 66c | 121.52$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 369 | 51.2%189 W · 180 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…3e21backed Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 16c | 112$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 560 | 44.6%250 W · 310 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Yes | 34c | 105.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 36c | 102.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 35c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…9e05backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0270…5a30backed Yes | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 66c | 84.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 1,176 | 57.4%675 W · 501 L | +40.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed No | 65c | 70.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 66c | 68.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 67c | 64.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 1,713 | 52.8%905 W · 808 L | +31.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…6a9fbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06cc…2e61backed Yes | 34c | 51.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 68c | 49.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 66c | 33.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 313 | 55.9%175 W · 138 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 68c | 28.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…9157backed No | 64c | 27.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 39c | 26.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 73c | 17.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…f21dbacked No | 63c | 16.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 66c | 15.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…3cb0backed No | 68c | 15.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-08-25?this page
- Will Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-08-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.