Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Magda Linette vs Emma Navarro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2615c6d40f184aa50ac261a1f7e9ff6e31eb8cd4417961f5fc0d2b311d34cb8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Linetteof Linette, Navarro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Linette | 24c | 40,030$9,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,332.88 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Navarro | 79c | 13,651$10,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,738.03 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Navarro | 78c | 10,613$8,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,226.18 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Navarro | 67c | 9,196$6,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,145.78 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Linette | 33c | 4,323$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.18 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Navarro | 71c | 4,311$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.2 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Navarro | 67c | 3,329$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.83 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Navarro | 67c | 2,280$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.52 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Linette | 24c | 1,458$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.62 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Linette | 27c | 1,390$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.9 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Navarro | 4c | 1,313$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Navarro | 71c | 1,050$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.5 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Linette | 17c | 1,026$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.64 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Linette | 22c | 925.91$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.98 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Linette | 23c | 566.42$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.81 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Navarro | 64c | 551$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.1 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Navarro | 73c | 549.37$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Navarro | 65c | 505$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.9 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Linette | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Linette | 27c | 445.37$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.12 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Linette | 37c | 404.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.42 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…9c89backed Linette | 26c | 400.27$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23c9…d4d5backed Linette | 24c | 344.47$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Linette | 43c | 332.22$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.92 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Navarro | 56c | 311.04$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.92 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Linette | 29c | 290.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.47 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…5a53backed Navarro | 68c | 213.19$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.07 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Navarro | 50c | 208.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc48a…c6c4backed Navarro | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Navarro | 80c | 165$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -8.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Navarro | 62c | 154.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Navarro | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Navarro | 66c | 115$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Linette | 36c | 111.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.46 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc669…53eabacked Navarro | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Linette | 29c | 90$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Navarro | 55c | 85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…c974backed Navarro | 73c | 83.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Navarro | 47c | 83.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Navarro | 18c | 81.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Linette | 13c | 78.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked Navarro | 73c | 73.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Navarro | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Navarro | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…61b8backed Linette | 33c | 56.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Navarro | 38c | 53.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Navarro | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Linette | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Navarro | 74c | 49.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Navarro | 69c | 47.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Navarro | 67c | 45.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…80cbbacked Linette | 38c | 40.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Navarro | 67c | 34.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Navarro | 73c | 34.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 606 | 61.2%371 W · 235 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Navarro | 65c | 33.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…8efdbacked Navarro | 71c | 32.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Navarro | 77c | 30.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed Navarro | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Navarro | 73c | 29.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…a609backed Navarro | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e9…1587backed Navarro | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf3…8f91backed Navarro | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Navarro | 72c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…be15backed Navarro | 66c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…3679backed Navarro | 72c | 18.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Navarro | 55c | 18.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Navarro | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Magda Linette vs Emma Navarrothis page
- Linette vs. Navarro: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Linette vs NavarroNavarro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.