Tennis · resolved market
ITF The Hague: Nuria Brancaccio vs Zhibek Kulambayeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x264812c638851e8dd5bb7eafb8d5df1506b992d24ce5fdf2432d57061a89e171
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhibek Kulambayevaof Nuria Brancaccio, Zhibek Kulambayeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Zhibek Kulambayeva | 47c | 382.78$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.42 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuria Brancaccio | 69c | 352.78$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.68 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Zhibek Kulambayeva | 31c | 323$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.87 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zhibek Kulambayeva | 10c | 311$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.9 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 59c | 284.31$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.01 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Zhibek Kulambayeva | 50c | 238.33$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.92 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuria Brancaccio | 29c | 203.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Zhibek Kulambayeva | 56c | 203.01$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 20c | 154.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Zhibek Kulambayeva | 31c | 135.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.48 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Zhibek Kulambayeva | 55c | 115$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Zhibek Kulambayeva | 69c | 100.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Nuria Brancaccio | 27c | 91.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 40c | 63.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zhibek Kulambayeva | 61c | 62.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 50c | 60.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Zhibek Kulambayeva | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nuria Brancaccio | 22c | 57.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Zhibek Kulambayeva | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Nuria Brancaccio | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 69c | 41.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Zhibek Kulambayeva | 30c | 37.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 70c | 37.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 30c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Nuria Brancaccio | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nuria Brancaccio | 56c | 27.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Zhibek Kulambayeva | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Zhibek Kulambayeva | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Zhibek Kulambayeva | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Zhibek Kulambayeva | 60c | 19.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.