Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Central Arkansas Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26d2f3a3ec5d740518c03b0efb76d681cb061d7b4a5f5c87f95eea5aa2748987
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Arkansas Bearsof Queens (NC) Royals, Central Arkansas Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Queens (NC) Royals | 42c | 6,327$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.5 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Central Arkansas Bears | 58c | 6,161$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.64 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Queens (NC) Royals | 13c | 3,616$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.82 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Queens (NC) Royals | 25c | 2,753$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.15 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Queens (NC) Royals | 43c | 1,738$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.75 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Central Arkansas Bears | 58c | 1,568$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.04 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 77c | 1,442$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.28 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Queens (NC) Royals | 24c | 1,419$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.37 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Queens (NC) Royals | 13c | 1,384$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.03 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Central Arkansas Bears | 70c | 1,022$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.47 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Queens (NC) Royals | 32c | 750.33$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.93 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Central Arkansas Bears | 69c | 544.36$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.47 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 75c | 496.71$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.79 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Central Arkansas Bears | 57c | 423.43$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.43 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Central Arkansas Bears | 57c | 348.92$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.64 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Central Arkansas Bears | 57c | 347.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.64 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Queens (NC) Royals | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Queens (NC) Royals | 22c | 179.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Central Arkansas Bears | 79c | 175.12$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Queens (NC) Royals | 17c | 126.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Queens (NC) Royals | 20c | 116.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Queens (NC) Royals | 43c | 107.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Central Arkansas Bears | 79c | 100.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Queens (NC) Royals | 43c | 99.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 57c | 87.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Queens (NC) Royals | 43c | 69.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Queens (NC) Royals | 22c | 64.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Queens (NC) Royals | 44c | 60.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Queens (NC) Royals | 43c | 57.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Queens (NC) Royals | 35c | 53.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked Central Arkansas Bears | 79c | 50.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Queens (NC) Royals | 43c | 46.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…b28fbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 58c | 35.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140f…0b2ebacked Central Arkansas Bears | 58c | 34.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Queens (NC) Royals | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Central Arkansas Bears | 56c | 20.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Central Arkansas Bears | 67c | 15.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Central Arkansas Bearsthis page
- Spread: Central Arkansas Bears (-2.5)Central Arkansas Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.