Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Guiomar Maristany
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26f3d8cfee17244646fc7e6a63058abecc6c122dfa7b075218ebfbba481a428d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guiomar Maristanyof Laura Pigossi, Guiomar Maristany
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Laura Pigossi | 12c | 5,798$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Laura Pigossi | 10c | 2,837$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.9 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Laura Pigossi | 5c | 2,221$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.08 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Laura Pigossi | 13c | 2,024$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.5 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Laura Pigossi | 3c | 1,660$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…e46abacked Guiomar Maristany | 75c | 1,341$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.48 | 100 | 70%70 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Guiomar Maristany | 70c | 1,239$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.55 | 434 | 49.1%213 W · 221 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Guiomar Maristany | 69c | 1,239$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.91 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Laura Pigossi | 32c | 1,011$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.54 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Laura Pigossi | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa164…7d86backed Laura Pigossi | 30c | 995.37$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Laura Pigossi | 31c | 708$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.48 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Laura Pigossi | 30c | 655.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Laura Pigossi | 3c | 642.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…cb59backed Laura Pigossi | 3c | 465.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Guiomar Maristany | 69c | 410.91$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.38 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Laura Pigossi | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Guiomar Maristany | 72c | 294.57$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.14 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Laura Pigossi | 30c | 255.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Laura Pigossi | 13c | 248.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…81c4backed Laura Pigossi | 7c | 204.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Guiomar Maristany | 69c | 180.08$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Laura Pigossi | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Laura Pigossi | 15c | 168.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Laura Pigossi | 29c | 157.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Laura Pigossi | 13c | 140$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Laura Pigossi | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Laura Pigossi | 31c | 121.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Guiomar Maristany | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Laura Pigossi | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guiomar Maristany | 80c | 94.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Laura Pigossi | 32c | 94.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Guiomar Maristany | 76c | 67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Guiomar Maristany | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Guiomar Maristany | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Laura Pigossi | 20c | 53.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Guiomar Maristany | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Guiomar Maristany | 68c | 49.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Guiomar Maristany | 69c | 42.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Guiomar Maristany | 72c | 39.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Guiomar Maristany | 69c | 37.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Laura Pigossi | 32c | 31.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e77…303fbacked Laura Pigossi | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 158 | 56.3%89 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bc…9d49backed Guiomar Maristany | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Guiomar Maristany | 73c | 16.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Guiomar Maristany | 80c | 15.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Guiomar Maristany | 75c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.