Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-07-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27819bb15176e1d33cf637d5f972ea3909ee4c104d32f8f8ce963f3ce9aaeafe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 41c | 15,000$6,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,147.6 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 2c | 4,390$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 80c | 4,045$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.2 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 48c | 2,673$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.8 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 52c | 2,105$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.63 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 66c | 1,825$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.33 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…fc37backed Yes | 49c | 1,632$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.32 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 53c | 1,500$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 52c | 1,322$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.85 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 50c | 1,181$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.47 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 50c | 1,059$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.98 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 48c | 999.67$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 79c | 703$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yes | 50c | 638$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 49c | 612$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 48c | 389.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…0454backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 212.66$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.59 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…c41ebacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked No | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…306dbacked No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf80…5993backed Yes | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked No | 53c | 151.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 33c | 125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 57c | 123.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 29c | 115.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 101.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 35c | 83.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 49c | 83.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 61c | 78.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…7dddbacked Yes | 49c | 65.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8d…8611backed Yes | 48c | 63.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 41cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…54f5backed Yes | 48c | 62.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…1d33backed Yes | 79c | 60.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa11…650bbacked Yes | 79c | 53.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed No | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 47c | 41.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 54c | 40.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf246…cbd4backed Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 33.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…22fdbacked Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 79c | 26.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…4324backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 51c | 23.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 46c | 22.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Yes | 79c | 22.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc4…3955backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-07-18?this page
- Will Hamarkameratene vs. Tromsø IL end in a draw?No won
- Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-07-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.