Fifa International · resolved market
Morocco to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27d435e99c4937f1c0e0d08a1f0eb01c205c244ebba6bd8a308ab34e43a8e5ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 13,123$6,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,057.76 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 54c | 10,780$5,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950.78 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 45c | 5,794$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.6 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 51c | 4,934$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.81 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 55c | 2,976$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.32 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 51c | 1,243$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.1 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…cc57backed Yes | 46c | 1,088$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.48 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…5541backed No | 61c | 889.33$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.92 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 47c | 838$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.42 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Yes | 46c | 428.26$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 46c | 415.97$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.19 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…a067backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd72…5a5bbacked Yes | 45c | 320.55$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 59c | 313.57$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.17 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 239.34$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.88 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…ee72backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…988fbacked Yes | 27c | 198.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 53c | 129.17$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 117$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fd…5dd2backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…797bbacked Yes | 46c | 83.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…ba99backed Yes | 47c | 70.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 51c | 66.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 54c | 57.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 52c | 46.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee1…656dbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae42…d021backed Yes | 49c | 40.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed No | 56c | 40.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf94…dfe2backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…6895backed Yes | 42c | 35.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 52c | 34.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…f8dabacked Yes | 46c | 34.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…6092backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Yes | 46c | 27.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 66c | 22.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morocco to win the second half?this page
- Scotland to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.