Tennis · resolved market
Asuncion: Franco Roncadelli vs Gianluca Cadenasso
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x287c41023715ad3af999e87f576d915de1ddd70e3335fd85c1ff91c6c6f9d9bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gianluca Cadenassoof Franco Roncadelli, Gianluca Cadenasso
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,383 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 77c | 2,091$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.37 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Franco Roncadelli | 17c | 1,426$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.45 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 71c | 1,180$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.63 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fd…6b77backed Franco Roncadelli | 25c | 1,157$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Franco Roncadelli | 32c | 1,150$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.18 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Franco Roncadelli | 25c | 1,052$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.68 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Franco Roncadelli | 27c | 704.74$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.76 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Franco Roncadelli | 18c | 700$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.02 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 69c | 592.7$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.74 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…b96bbacked Franco Roncadelli | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Franco Roncadelli | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Franco Roncadelli | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 68c | 485.52$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.64 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 80c | 346.83$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 67c | 322.3$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0203…c2f7backed Franco Roncadelli | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Franco Roncadelli | 31c | 200.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ce…0a8ebacked Franco Roncadelli | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 65c | 187.69$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Franco Roncadelli | 23c | 172.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 70c | 167.83$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Franco Roncadelli | 38c | 161.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Franco Roncadelli | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Franco Roncadelli | 23c | 133.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 66c | 133.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 65c | 120.7$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 75c | 110.81$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Franco Roncadelli | 14c | 106.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 180 | 20.6%37 W · 143 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Franco Roncadelli | 31c | 99.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 69c | 96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Franco Roncadelli | 34c | 92.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…804ebacked Franco Roncadelli | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 155 | 14.2%22 W · 133 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 64c | 82.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 68c | 80.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Franco Roncadelli | 32c | 78.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99f…aeb1backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 69c | 72.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 68c | 69.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Franco Roncadelli | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Franco Roncadelli | 29c | 67.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Franco Roncadelli | 25c | 61.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Franco Roncadelli | 31c | 58.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdeb…8cd1backed Franco Roncadelli | 31c | 57.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 63c | 50.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 70c | 41.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Franco Roncadelli | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 67c | 20.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.