Tennis · resolved market
ITF Monastir: Andrea Colombo vs Ali Yazdani
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29ced91eaec824ed68ab3b6b0c388cfbfd1127eea722780f86f14262db94bb1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ali Yazdaniof Andrea Colombo, Ali Yazdani
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Andrea Colombo | 67c | 1,409$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.13 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ali Yazdani | 31c | 807.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.49 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Andrea Colombo | 69c | 674.94$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.62 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Andrea Colombo | 9c | 586$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Ali Yazdani | 31c | 537.35$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.77 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Andrea Colombo | 8c | 450$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Andrea Colombo | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…9b19backed Andrea Colombo | 15c | 304.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Andrea Colombo | 69c | 213.01$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.82 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Andrea Colombo | 71c | 154.53$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ali Yazdani | 32c | 122.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Ali Yazdani | 31c | 116.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.49 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ali Yazdani | 26c | 116.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.33 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Andrea Colombo | 23c | 109.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Ali Yazdani | 48c | 85.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ali Yazdani | 30c | 71.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Andrea Colombo | 73c | 71.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Ali Yazdani | 29c | 69.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Ali Yazdani | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Andrea Colombo | 73c | 68.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ali Yazdani | 26c | 67.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Ali Yazdani | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Ali Yazdani | 29c | 57.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Ali Yazdani | 48c | 51.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Andrea Colombo | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Ali Yazdani | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Andrea Colombo | 61c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Andrea Colombo | 53c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Andrea Colombo | 74c | 36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Ali Yazdani | 38c | 26.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…7c8bbacked Andrea Colombo | 39c | 25.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Ali Yazdani | 57c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Ali Yazdani | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Andrea Colombo | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.