Tennis · resolved market
Les Sables d'Olonne: Dominika Salkova vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a7961f3d246d695d0f5a5865cc292842a96adacff7b23834f840724ca3217fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Salkovaof Salkova, Garcia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Garcia | 14c | 4,206$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.06 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Salkova | 69c | 1,445$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.91 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Salkova | 78c | 869.75$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.9 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Salkova | 68c | 688.3$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.3 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Garcia | 34c | 585.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Garcia | 31c | 530.33$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.88 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Garcia | 21c | 477.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Garcia | 32c | 362.7$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.12 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Garcia | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Salkova | 67c | 234.91$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Garcia | 29c | 226.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Salkova | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 240 | 60.8%146 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Garcia | 31c | 191$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Garcia | 37c | 189.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Salkova | 72c | 170.92$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Garcia | 33c | 150.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Garcia | 33c | 110.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Salkova | 74c | 105.2$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Salkova | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Salkova | 71c | 98.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Garcia | 32c | 98.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Garcia | 16c | 88.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Garcia | 32c | 69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Garcia | 22c | 67.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Garcia | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Garcia | 32c | 60.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f1…0bf6backed Salkova | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…e557backed Salkova | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 83 | 74.7%62 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Salkova | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Salkova | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Salkova | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Salkova | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.