Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ac0be05d06a8fedc513d54ab1657b29907070a25e51c61cecdcf59f8bc3dc3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ad…545dbacked No | 12c | 789.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 49c | 512.14$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 72c | 449.02$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 17c | 348.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…57e3backed Yes | 66c | 322.58$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.54 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…be31backed Yes | 62c | 293.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…cb82backed Yes | 42c | 282.46$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.12 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…665ebacked No | 66c | 208.34$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.51 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 41c | 167.88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.81 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…27c0backed No | 57c | 167.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.21 | 297 | 48.5%144 W · 153 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…9bedbacked No | 59c | 161.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 42c | 160.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 70c | 156.68$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 30c | 154.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.54 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…db4dbacked Yes | 51c | 146.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…4fd0backed No | 65c | 138.72$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -10.5wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xeb00…5461backed Yes | 42c | 135.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 57c | 133.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 42c | 127.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c2…4302backed Yes | 40c | 116.27$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce3…1689backed Yes | 47c | 109.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 474 | 32.5%154 W · 320 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 65c | 108.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Yes | 38c | 105.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 166 | 26.5%44 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…a782backed Yes | 41c | 104.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 515 | 37.5%193 W · 322 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…deeabacked Yes | 35c | 104.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 1,072 | 36.6%392 W · 680 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 34c | 103.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9668backed Yes | 43c | 98.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 64c | 98.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…b21ebacked Yes | 43c | 94.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 23c | 92.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…eadfbacked Yes | 52c | 92.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 40c | 91.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed Yes | 40c | 86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff9…a21abacked No | 66c | 85.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ac…c678backed Yes | 28c | 83.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…7017backed Yes | 64c | 81.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 656 | 27.4%180 W · 476 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 79.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed Yes | 41c | 67.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 267 | 38.6%103 W · 164 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…401ebacked No | 59c | 67.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 28c | 67.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…92e4backed Yes | 43c | 66.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 277 | 44%122 W · 155 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 67c | 65.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 35c | 64.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9301backed Yes | 46c | 62.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 67c | 61.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf6…bdf2backed Yes | 34c | 59.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 36c | 56.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 34c | 56.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 60c | 50.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba3…4e15backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 278 | 51.8%144 W · 134 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f6…9384backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…b745backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 275 | 40%110 W · 165 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6de…9452backed Yes | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…45efbacked Yes | 39c | 47.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…858bbacked Yes | 33c | 47.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 60c | 47.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 22c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 44c | 44.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…0a1fbacked Yes | 37c | 44.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 36c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…1ad2backed Yes | 34c | 41.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x327f…2c55backed Yes | 51c | 39.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 66c | 39.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 59c | 37.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 38c | 37.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 60c | 36.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…68a1backed No | 45c | 33.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Yes | 52c | 33.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 182 | 55.5%101 W · 81 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 43c | 33.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4e36backed No | 59c | 32.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 197 | 72.6%143 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 75c | 28.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 59c | 26.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e4…feb3backed Yes | 39c | 26.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122a…aba4backed No | 74c | 24.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 62c | 23.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…619abacked No | 59c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 274 | 64.6%177 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…2227backed No | 67c | 17.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.