CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Atreides - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b28d3ea0458aff57eac807f99a8369be62383e49cf686af4fa5fcc45db4b269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atreidesof Nuclear TigeRES, Atreides
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8efe…6704backed Nuclear TigeRES | 58c | 3,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.99 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Atreides | 49c | 2,035$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.24 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 1,517$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.7 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Atreides | 17c | 1,089$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.72 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Atreides | 33c | 716.64$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.75 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed Nuclear TigeRES | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +183%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed Nuclear TigeRES | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 6.8%5 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +172.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked Atreides | 80c | 592.62$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.77 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Atreides | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…041dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 499.99$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.99 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -13.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Atreides | 30c | 345$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.75 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 337.26$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Atreides | 24c | 255.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.75 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 45c | 252.03$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.38 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuclear TigeRES | 54c | 204.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.43 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 51c | 198.66$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Atreides | 30c | 181.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.24 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Atreides | 34c | 181.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.84 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 33c | 172.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 54c | 153$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nuclear TigeRES | 20c | 141.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Atreides | 27c | 131.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.15 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Atreides | 36c | 125.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Atreides | 26c | 119.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 34c | 117.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Atreides | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Atreides | 12c | 110$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.85 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed Atreides | 79c | 100.55$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Atreides | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Atreides | 29c | 95.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 79.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 31c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…6aa1backed Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 63.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 79 | 70.9%56 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Atreides | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Atreides | 42c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 33c | 53.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Atreides | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Nuclear TigeRES | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f49…2285backed Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 36.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 67c | 30.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…f252backed Nuclear TigeRES | 69c | 29.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nuclear TigeRES | 72c | 26.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Nuclear TigeRES | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Atreides - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Atreides (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 PlayoffsAtreides won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Atreides - Map 2 WinnerAtreides won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs Atreides (+1.5)Atreides won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.