CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Atreides - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdf8627a3cb9258c9f52d55c94d85bf067588c42a8dbc7cb6886347caf05dd5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atreidesof Nuclear TigeRES, Atreides
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8efe…6704backed Nuclear TigeRES | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Atreides | 54c | 2,531$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.72 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atreides | 44c | 2,374$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.27 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Atreides | 51c | 1,991$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.21 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 56c | 1,972$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.66 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Nuclear TigeRES | 42c | 1,428$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.75 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Nuclear TigeRES | 55c | 1,366$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.29 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Atreides | 26c | 677.13$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.47 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…72d2backed Atreides | 47c | 641.37$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.52 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 46c | 620$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.03 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed Nuclear TigeRES | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +183%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Atreides | 43c | 566.69$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.17 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Atreides | 38c | 553.34$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.07 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Nuclear TigeRES | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Nuclear TigeRES | 42c | 480.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Atreides | 57c | 455$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.84 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 63c | 435.3$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.3 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed Atreides | 37c | 383.95$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.95 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Atreides | 30c | 378.7$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.09 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Nuclear TigeRES | 79c | 367.25$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.59 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 24c | 366$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.11 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Atreides | 41c | 267.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.42 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…041dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -13.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Atreides | 55c | 241.95$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.59 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Atreides | 40c | 234$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.36 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Atreides | 49c | 207.61$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Atreides | 43c | 200.89$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.78 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Atreides | 25c | 183.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.07 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Atreides | 38c | 180.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.21 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 62c | 160.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Atreides | 50c | 137.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Atreides | 18c | 131.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Atreides | 40c | 129$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 37c | 125.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…11a5backed Nuclear TigeRES | 77c | 120$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Atreides | 48c | 109$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 40c | 107.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf120…ce3cbacked Atreides | 52c | 106$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a12…a9a7backed Atreides | 21c | 103$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed Atreides | 51c | 102.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Atreides | 35c | 100.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Atreides | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Atreides | 59c | 79.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59e7…ee13backed Nuclear TigeRES | 76c | 77.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Atreides | 20c | 69.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 47c | 61.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Atreides | 56c | 57.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Nuclear TigeRES | 52c | 54.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Nuclear TigeRES | 72c | 54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Atreides | 49c | 46.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 41.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Atreides | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…9fb3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 45c | 31.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 59c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…a338backed Nuclear TigeRES | 72c | 27.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b0…1d6bbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 80c | 25.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Atreides | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 55c | 18.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 76c | 13.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Atreides - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Atreides (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 PlayoffsAtreides won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Atreides - Map 1 WinnerAtreides won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs Atreides (+1.5)Atreides won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.