Tennis · resolved market
ITF Horb: Francesca Parcelli vs Eva Bennemann
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b3f8537cceb2c35d6547b360e4d710b8b59835e58e225264e5364fa7fbcd6a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francesca Parcelliof Francesca Parcelli, Eva Bennemann
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Francesca Parcelli | 65c | 3,056$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.8 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Eva Bennemann | 35c | 2,922$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.01 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Francesca Parcelli | 31c | 2,723$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.76 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…3333backed Eva Bennemann | 14c | 544.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Eva Bennemann | 25c | 505.27$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.53 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Eva Bennemann | 62c | 367.92$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.11 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Eva Bennemann | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.3 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Francesca Parcelli | 14c | 238.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.72 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Eva Bennemann | 65c | 230.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Eva Bennemann | 10c | 206.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Eva Bennemann | 62c | 133.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.48 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Francesca Parcelli | 16c | 111.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Eva Bennemann | 62c | 106.45$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Eva Bennemann | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Francesca Parcelli | 17c | 79.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Francesca Parcelli | 52c | 73.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +48.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Francesca Parcelli | 51c | 71.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Eva Bennemann | 47c | 60.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Francesca Parcelli | 46c | 53.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eva Bennemann | 70c | 32.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Francesca Parcelli | 63c | 31.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Eva Bennemann | 68c | 29.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Eva Bennemann | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Eva Bennemann | 63c | 23.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 627 | 49.4%310 W · 317 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Francesca Parcelli | 49c | 22.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Eva Bennemann | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Eva Bennemann | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Eva Bennemann | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbef…aadebacked Eva Bennemann | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.