Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b66ff5eaa88c1b7f55df0d42bb42ad09342342a860d1646eb2acfec6e284567
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e6e…cfe9backed Yes | 31c | 694.03$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.06 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Yes | 2c | 600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Yes | 4c | 450$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 263 | 27.8%73 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 74c | 349.34$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.25 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 26c | 308.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed Yes | 24c | 303.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.77 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92e…2e92backed Yes | 29c | 282.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 24c | 208.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 35c | 206.84$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 30c | 196.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 33c | 176.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 76c | 146.05$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 28c | 138.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 64c | 129.85$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 24c | 127.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 76c | 116.55$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…17c0backed Yes | 33c | 111.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…197bbacked Yes | 36c | 111.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 63c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 65c | 96.66$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 78c | 96.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 27c | 96.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 94.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 76c | 92.45$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…11a3backed No | 79c | 91.22$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…eadabacked No | 75c | 85.42$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 165 | 75.8%125 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 70c | 83.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 16c | 79.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 32c | 77.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 64c | 77.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 31c | 76.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 79c | 75.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed No | 67c | 69.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…dbc0backed No | 68c | 69.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 167 | 64.1%107 W · 60 L | -13.7wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3182…4ff7backed No | 77c | 66.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 141 | 68.1%96 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed No | 65c | 64.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 74c | 62.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 66c | 61.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 69c | 57.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x47ec…4d4cbacked Yes | 26c | 54.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f2…e2d7backed Yes | 33c | 54.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 75c | 51.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 72c | 51.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 33c | 51.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…54abbacked Yes | 26c | 49.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 79c | 48.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 65c | 48.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d22…245cbacked Yes | 28c | 48.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…00c3backed Yes | 33c | 47.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c7…485abacked Yes | 23c | 45.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 69c | 45.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 65c | 44.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 722 | 22.3%161 W · 561 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 72c | 43.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 69c | 43.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…1225backed Yes | 45c | 42.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf143…b143backed Yes | 36c | 42.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 110 | 69.1%76 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 70c | 41.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 32c | 40.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f0…95f4backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed No | 74c | 39.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 28c | 37.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 40c | 36.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 76c | 31.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed Yes | 40c | 29.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 267 | 38.6%103 W · 164 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…245ebacked No | 75c | 29.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 35c | 28.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…bc29backed No | 75c | 28.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 146 | 66.4%97 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8063backed No | 68c | 28.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 72c | 27.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 74c | 20.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…5c20backed No | 72c | 20.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…133bbacked No | 62c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 57c | 19.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…8ea6backed No | 68c | 18.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 188 | 78.2%147 W · 41 L | +19.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…840abacked No | 64c | 17.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 375 | 70.7%265 W · 110 L | +62.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked No | 59c | 17.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…af41backed No | 78c | 16.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 71c | 15.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c08…724fbacked No | 73c | 14.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…c61bbacked No | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 608 | 51.2%311 W · 297 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 21?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or higher on April 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.